FL-Mason-Dixon: Murphy and Rubio lead big in primaries, Rubio +3 in general

[IceSpear]

Remember when people actually thought Grayson had a chance? lol

[IceSpear]

By this forum's standards of other races, this one should be Lean R.

What are you referring to here?

[IceSpear]

New Poll: Florida Senator by Mason-Dixon on 2016-08-24

Summary: D: 43%, R: 46%, I: 0%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[IceSpear]

By this forum's standards of other races, this one should be Lean R.

What are you referring to here?

The presidential election being "Safe D" despite polls showing Hillary only ahead within the margin of error and there being more than two months to go?

I've never thought it was safe D, but it isn't within the MoE. Both RCP and Pollster have her up 6, and she's doing even better in her "firewall" states.

[IceSpear]

By this forum's standards of other races, this one should be Lean R.

What are you referring to here?

There's been like 6 polls all in a row showing Rubio leading by 3-8. We easily call New Hampshire 'Lean D' when there's a few polls showing Hassan up 4 or 5. People here just HATE Rubio, and want him to lose badly that they're having a hard time accepting he has somewhat of an advantage right now.

The vast majority of predictions have both FL and NH as toss ups. In fact, there are more lean R ratings for FL than lean D ratings for NH.

https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/SENATE/2016/pred.php

Plus, as the others have said, it's important to see how things shake out after the primary before drawing broad conclusions.