By this forum's standards of other races, this one should be Lean R.
What are you referring to here?
There's been like 6 polls all in a row showing Rubio leading by 3-8. We easily call New Hampshire 'Lean D' when there's a few polls showing Hassan up 4 or 5. People here just HATE Rubio, and want him to lose badly that they're having a hard time accepting he has somewhat of an advantage right now.
I can't speak for others, but the reason why I still have FL as a Toss-Up is the primary hasn't happened yet. Remember how Begich looked okay for much of 2014, then after the primary he quickly lost his lead and never recovered?
I don't actually, because there were barely any polls of Alaska and most were not trusted because its super difficult to poll the state. I knew it was going to be a competitive race from the start, not that primaries aren't important in some races. I still rate it as toss-up too, but I'm speaking for the double standards of (many posters on) the forum not myself. Like most anybody who already has an existing opinion, if polls show what we like, then we trust them and move on, if they don't, we're skeptical and don't know if we can trust them. Its just standard stuff at this point, not trying to be bitchy just wanted to point it out.