Ben Ray Lujan, Joaquin Castro, Kyrsten Sinema, Ron Kind, and maybe Sewell are the most likely to get promotions in my opinion.
If Lujan can help Democrats get a House Majority, he's definitely in line for a promotion. Ideally, I'd like to keep him around for 2018 to help protect as many seats as possible. I can't see most of your list making Leadership. Generally, you have to be in Congress for quite some time to be eligible for a leadership position.
Roy Blunt became the Majority Whip in six years. Dick Armey became Majority Leader in ten years. Steve Scalise became the Majority Whip in six years. Ryan became Speaker in sixteen years.
If one plays one's cards right with big connections, it's not that tough. Ben Ray Lujan and Joaquin Castro are big names. Joaquin's the twin of the HUD Secretary and essentially one of the top four or five Texas Democrats.
