CBS/YouGov: Clinton+6 in OH, IA very close (user search)
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  CBS/YouGov: Clinton+6 in OH, IA very close (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Clinton+6 in OH, IA very close  (Read 6144 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« on: August 21, 2016, 10:48:49 AM »

Those polls seem to confirm (Pew, daily tracker polls) that race almost came back to "pre-convention" polling, i.e. Clinton is up 4-6 from 8-10
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2016, 11:01:54 AM »

^^^
Yougov polled Ohio (C +5) and Iowa (T+1) July 13-15. Then the race was Clinton +4-5.
Now we get C+6 and tie in OH and Iowa, respectively.

This together with other polls might indicate, that race is tightening. Or not Cheesy
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2016, 11:17:42 AM »

^^^
Yougov polled Ohio (C +5) and Iowa (T+1) July 13-15. Then the race was Clinton +4-5.
Now we get C+6 and tie in OH and Iowa, respectively.

This together with other polls might indicate, that race is tightening. Or not Cheesy
So Ohio is going to be an even PVI this year.  OK whatever you say.
Sigh, I'm not saying that. I just compare polls from the same pollster.

Check out, how 538's model is working.
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It seems pretty reasonable, don't you think?
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2016, 12:40:49 PM »

Up 6 in Ohio? But muh tracking polls
They shows almost the same trend.
Yougov shows almost the same results AUG. 17-19 as JUL. 13-15 (Clintons lead increased by one point in OH and IA).
The La Times shows that race for Aug 14-20 is almost the same as for Jul 14-20.

Smiley One more time:
Trend.
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