CBS/YouGov: Clinton+6 in OH, IA very close (user search)
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  CBS/YouGov: Clinton+6 in OH, IA very close (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Clinton+6 in OH, IA very close  (Read 6175 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: August 21, 2016, 12:18:44 PM »

Up 6 in Ohio? But muh tracking polls
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2016, 12:49:35 PM »

lol Ohio is not going to be more Democratic than the rest of the nation, friend. Ohio has always been a Republican leaning swing state.

And if anything Trump was supposed to make it more GOP leaning than usual, per the conventional wisdom and earlier polls.

In fact, this is the biggest lead she's had in ANY Ohio poll (aside from that junky Ballotpedia poll in June) since March.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2016, 03:05:26 PM »

+6 in Ohio makes sense if Clinton is +10 or +11 in PA

What the hell is going on in Iowa?

seriously. lack of minorities.

He's not doing well (even relatively) in states like WI or NH though.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2016, 03:10:20 PM »

In IA, Trump is winning 9% of Democrats, and Clinton is winning 4% of Republicans. There seem to a real lack anti-Trump Republicans, for a state where Trump did poorly in the primaries.

That does make some sense. Are Ted Cruz/Steve King voters really going to bolt from Trump? I doubt it.
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