IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton +4/tied in IA, +5/+4 in OH, +11/+9 in PA

[dspNY]

Clinton starting to blow Trump out in Pennsylvania. Ohio and Iowa are also nice but I wish she were closer to 50

[dspNY]

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/810-clinton-trump-competitive-in-iowa-ohio-clinton-leads-trump-in-pennsylvania/

More info, crosstabs, etc.

Once again, a much less diverse electorate in OH and PA than what we saw in 2012

OH was 79% white, 15% African American in 2012 and this poll has it 84-12
PA was 79% white, 13% African American in 2012 and this poll has it 82-9

[dspNY]

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/810-clinton-trump-competitive-in-iowa-ohio-clinton-leads-trump-in-pennsylvania/

More info, crosstabs, etc.

Once again, a much less diverse electorate in OH and PA than what we saw in 2012

OH was 79% white, 15% African American in 2012 and this poll has it 84-12
PA was 79% white, 13% African American in 2012 and this poll has it 82-9

Are you using exit-polls or voter files?

New York Times exit polls from 2012

[dspNY]

If Wisconsin is near 15 then Iowa will be closer to 10 than 5. I stand by my post.

Agreed. Iowa is only 4-5 points right of Wisconsin and sometimes only 2-3