Vermont Primary Poll-Phil Scott +45, Sue Minter +5 (June 26-29) EIG

[Pragmatic Conservative]

GOP Primary
Phil Scott 68%
Bruce Lisman 23%
Other 9%

Democratic Primary
Sue Minter 36%
Matt Dunne 31%
Peter Galbraith 8%
Other 25%

Poll Conducted by Energy Independent Vermont June 26-29
Link: http://www.energyindependentvt.org/poll-vermonters-support-action-to-address-global-warming/

[smoltchanov]

IMHO - more or less expected. Scott is much more well known and popular, but more conservative Lisman will get "solid conservatives", which exist even in Vermont. And he is advertising on TV. Galbraith was always relatively unpopular because of his style ("Alan Grayson of Vermont"), and Minter and Dunne are not too different politically - two "solid progressives"....

[Heisenberg]

No general election poll?

[Pragmatic Conservative]

No general election poll?

None that I could see, I guess they are waiting for the primary results before doing a GE poll.

[Xing]

Looks like Republicans will get their wish with Scott. I guess we'll see if split-ticketing can still be as strong this year as it was in 2008.

[MT Treasurer]

Looks like Republicans will get their wish with Scott. I guess we'll see if split-ticketing can still be as strong this year as it was in 2008.

I'd rate both VT and WV Tossup. Gubernatorial elections are really not that partisan.

[Xing]

Looks like Republicans will get their wish with Scott. I guess we'll see if split-ticketing can still be as strong this year as it was in 2008.

I'd rate both VT and WV Tossup. Gubernatorial elections are really not that partisan.

They're more partisan than they used to be. I certainly wouldn't rate WV a toss-up.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Looks like Republicans will get their wish with Scott. I guess we'll see if split-ticketing can still be as strong this year as it was in 2008.

I'd rate both VT and WV Tossup. Gubernatorial elections are really not that partisan.

They're more partisan than they used to be. I certainly wouldn't rate WV a toss-up.

Jim Justice could certainly win... He was the best Ds could offer.

[IceSpear]

Looks like Republicans will get their wish with Scott. I guess we'll see if split-ticketing can still be as strong this year as it was in 2008.

I'd rate both VT and WV Tossup. Gubernatorial elections are really not that partisan.

They're more partisan than they used to be. I certainly wouldn't rate WV a toss-up.

Jim Justice could certainly winkeep his loss to single digits... He was the best Ds could offer.

Fixed.

[smoltchanov]

Looks like Republicans will get their wish with Scott. I guess we'll see if split-ticketing can still be as strong this year as it was in 2008.

I'd rate both VT and WV Tossup. Gubernatorial elections are really not that partisan.

They're more partisan than they used to be. I certainly wouldn't rate WV a toss-up.

Jim Justice could certainly winkeep his loss to single digits... He was the best Ds could offer.

Fixed.

Is it a good practice to "fix" other person messages? I seriously doubt...

[hopper]

Looks like Republicans will get their wish with Scott. I guess we'll see if split-ticketing can still be as strong this year as it was in 2008.

You think Scott could win with Trump at the top of the ticket? I give Scott a 35% of winning the Governors Race.

[smoltchanov]

Looks like Republicans will get their wish with Scott. I guess we'll see if split-ticketing can still be as strong this year as it was in 2008.

You think Scott could win with Trump at the top of the ticket? I give Scott a 35% of winning the Governors Race.

And i give 50% He is absolutely anti-Trump, absolutely moderate (by present day standards - even liberal for Republican), and will get a TON of crossover support. Whether that will be enough - another matter, but i consider his chances to be as good as of (still undetermined) Democratic nominee.. Even more so because i am not too impressed by ALL 3 Democratic candidates..

[Free Bird]

Looks like Republicans will get their wish with Scott. I guess we'll see if split-ticketing can still be as strong this year as it was in 2008.

You think Scott could win with Trump at the top of the ticket? I give Scott a 35% of winning the Governors Race.

Douglas won easily in 2008, as well as 2004, both times the Democrat easily carried Vermont.

[Kingpoleon]

The calm NH men vote is split between Dunne, Galbraith, and two other men, not to mention Scott and Lisman for the Republicans alongside Bill Lee for the Liberty Union Party. Minter would get crushed by at least ten points because of the calm NH "independent" men.

[Eraserhead]

Hopefully Dunne wins the Democratic Primary.