ABC/WaPo national poll: Clinton 50% Trump 42%

[Mr. Morden]

ABC/WaPo national poll, conducted Aug. 1-4:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/clinton-opens-23-point-lead-women-gains-democrats/story?id=41148222

[Lief 🗽]

TREMENDOUS! Absolutely tremendous.

[The Other Castro]

[Maxwell]

at 50% and 8 points up! YUGE

[Dr. Arch]

Looks like Khan sunk Trump deep. I don't think he can recover to the point of even tying.

[heatcharger]

Melania Trump with negative favorables LOL. She deserves it.

[The Other Castro]

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[Xing]

More than a week after the convention, and her numbers are still up! Wonderful!

[Speed of Sound]

These results are kind of a big deal. The norm may be settling in. At some point, doing okay/righting the ship won't get Trump anywhere. He'll have to really go above and beyond/have Hillary really sink.

[Ronnie]

I'm just waiting until Correct the Record announces ad buys in Arizona and Georgia.  Then, we'll know the race is absolutely over.

[The Other Castro]

Big thing here is Clinton's favorables. The article says 46%, which might be a typo, but clicking on the link to the poll itself shows Clinton's favorability rating at 48-50, just 2 points net negative. According to the poll, her rating in June was 42-55. Meanwhile, Trump's favorability is 34-63 (29 points net negative).

Also, favorable or unfavorable impression of:

Mike Pence: 38-26 (+12)

Tim Kaine: 41-24 (+17)

Bill Clinton: 56-38 (+18)

Melania Trump: 33-39 (-6)

[Devout Centrist]

Live Mic at Clinton Headquarters

[Maxwell]

If I assume undecideds split evenly, I plugged the demographics into the 538 demographic calculator, made some assumptions about turnout and I got a 55%-43% result.

[Likely Voter]

Let's face it, Trump isn't going to do any better than Romney with non-whites so it's all about the white vote. But if he can't find a way to improve with educated whites and/or white women, this election is over.  The RNC should have been his opportunity to do that, but all it seemed to do was help him with the non-college white guys who already loved him.

[HAnnA MArin County]

More crickets from the blue avatars

Just absolutely beautiful. 

God bless the GOP base for giving us Donald Trump.

[Lyin' Steve]

Wow, that Clinton favorable number is huge.
Also moderately surprised by the pence favorable.  He's done well for himself so far but I'd have thought just association with Trump would be enough to put him below water.

[psychprofessor]

These cross tabs are just devastating for Trump. She leads him on every "who do you trust" metric and over two-thirds state he doesn't have the temperament to serve. I think these characteristics of temperament and personality are baked in to the electorate now. And 60% of the electorate, 46% strongly, feel that Trump is biased against women and minorities. Wow.

12. Do you think Donald Trump [ITEM], or not?
8/4/16 – Summary Table
                                                                       Yes  No  No opinion
a. is honest and trustworthy                                 34 62 4
b. has the kind of personality and temperament
    it takes to serve effectively as president            31 67 2
c. has a good understanding of world affairs          33 64 3

 Do you think Trump is or is not biased against women and minorities? Do you feel
that way strongly or somewhat?
 ------- Is biased ------- ------ Is not biased ---- No
           NET Strongly Somewhat     NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
8/4/16  60       46          14              36         11         25         4


15. Who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)? And who do you
trust more to handle [NEXT ITEM]?
8/4/16 – Summary Table
 
                                          Clinton Trump (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. The economy                           48 46 1 3 1
b. Terrorism                                48 43 * 4 4
c. Immigration issues                   53 40 1 5 1
d. An international crisis               60 33 1 5 1
e. Race relations                          63 29 1 6 1
f. Taxes                                       51 41 1 4 3
g. International trade agreements 54 40 3 2 1

[Speed of Sound]

15. Who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)? And who do you
trust more to handle [NEXT ITEM]?
8/4/16 – Summary Table
 
                                          Clinton Trump (vol.) (vol.) opinion
b. Terrorism                                48 43 * 4 4

My head would have exploded in 2004 to see these numbers. Heck, it might now.

[psychprofessor]

15. Who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)? And who do you
trust more to handle [NEXT ITEM]?
8/4/16 – Summary Table
 
                                          Clinton Trump (vol.) (vol.) opinion
b. Terrorism                                48 43 * 4 4

My head would have exploded in 2004 to see these numbers. Heck, it might now.

And she leads him on TAXES...paging grover norquist!

[Ronnie]

God bless the GOP base for giving us Donald Trump.

Absolutely.  As much as we ridicule Trump, we really should be more gracious to him.  Nobody else could have given us the opportunity to not only secure a third consecutive presidential term, but also win the senate, and maybe even the house.  We would not be so gleeful right now if Kasich or Rubio were the nominee.

[IceSpear]

But Politico told me third parties hurt Hillary in the polls!!!!

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

There's a lot of ground here that Trump can't overcome. Everything from personality/temperament and political correctness to even the idea of a President Trump is too solidly negative. If the Khan story didn't cause a dent, it certainly solidified a lot of peoples opinions about him

The RNC have a lot of making over to do if they want to convince the electorate that Trump is better outside of "He's not Crooked Hillary and doesn't use E-mails". Attacking Obama wouldn't help much and the latest Iran story has already been buried by the Olympics. 3 months to go, but it's looking more like 1996 than 2012.

[Yank2133]

This has been the most devastating poll so far, the internals are just awful for Trump.

[StatesPoll]

ABC/WaPo national poll, conducted Aug. 1-4:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/clinton-opens-23-point-lead-women-gains-democrats/story?id=41148222

1. WP = Anti-TRUMP media
2. 815 RV = Not enough smaples for National Poll
3. Even this skewed poll, Independent voters TRUMP 46% > Hillary 42%

[Badger]

ABC/WaPo national poll, conducted Aug. 1-4:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/clinton-opens-23-point-lead-women-gains-democrats/story?id=41148222

1. WP = Anti-TRUMP media
2. 815 RV = Not enough smaples for National Poll
3. Even this skewed poll, Independent voters TRUMP 46% > Hillary 42%

$hit. Who let you back in?

On the ignore list you go, dullard.