Marist: Clinton +14
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  Marist: Clinton +14
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Author Topic: Marist: Clinton +14  (Read 2528 times)
Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #25 on: August 04, 2016, 04:19:53 PM »

Clinton still stuck on 45...this huge swing has been from Trump supporters abandoning him. Johnson benefiting on 10.

48-33 in the head to head...with 3 and 4 options being included it won't take getting over 50 to win. The bigger issue is Trump under 35 in a slew of polls.

Well obviously 48-33 would win Clinton the election? The point is this has been a shift from soft Trump supporters, and few of them have gone to Clinton.
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dspNY
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« Reply #26 on: August 04, 2016, 04:25:17 PM »

Clinton still stuck on 45...this huge swing has been from Trump supporters abandoning him. Johnson benefiting on 10.

48-33 in the head to head...with 3 and 4 options being included it won't take getting over 50 to win. The bigger issue is Trump under 35 in a slew of polls.

Well obviously 48-33 would win Clinton the election? The point is this has been a shift from soft Trump supporters, and few of them have gone to Clinton.

Could also be Clinton consolidating a lot of Sanders supporters who said they were #BernieOrBust but didn't really mean it
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #27 on: August 04, 2016, 04:29:52 PM »

Video taken just moments ago, of Seriously? (our Atlas member) destroying his Japanese-styled home after seeing this recent poll ....

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darthebearnc
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« Reply #28 on: August 04, 2016, 04:31:13 PM »

heh lol
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #29 on: August 04, 2016, 04:31:29 PM »

Video taken just moments ago, of Seriously? (our Atlas member) destroying his Japanese-styled home after seeing this recent poll ....



LOL. That was a good laugh.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #30 on: August 04, 2016, 04:49:47 PM »

Is this the same as the NBC/WSJ poll coming out today?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #31 on: August 04, 2016, 04:52:25 PM »

Is this the same as the NBC/WSJ poll coming out today?

I don't think so?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #32 on: August 04, 2016, 04:52:37 PM »

Is this the same as the NBC/WSJ poll coming out today?
A Year Ago, Trump was Surging
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #33 on: August 04, 2016, 04:55:08 PM »

NBC/WSJ just dropped..Clinton +9
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #34 on: August 04, 2016, 04:56:06 PM »

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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #35 on: August 04, 2016, 05:04:35 PM »

Trump campaign on suicide watch now.
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #36 on: August 04, 2016, 05:13:02 PM »

This is actually a pretty respectable poll, right? Holy shhhhh
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #37 on: August 04, 2016, 05:35:52 PM »

Trump be like

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #38 on: August 04, 2016, 06:00:10 PM »

He's down 14% even with Stein at 6%.

I generally try not to overreact to these polls but we may actually be looking at a complete collapse here.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #39 on: August 04, 2016, 06:05:37 PM »

Democrats up 49-41 in the generic congressional ballot. If she were to actually win by 14 it's fair to say the House is in play.
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Flake
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« Reply #40 on: August 04, 2016, 08:31:10 PM »

I'm going to take these polls with a grain of salt, it is right after the convention and Trump has been caught in an embarrassing scandal, again. I think people are going to forget about much of this and the race should get closer, but I think this is a clear sign that the night of the election should be a very good one for the Democrats.
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Horus
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« Reply #41 on: August 04, 2016, 09:43:49 PM »

Trump only gets 9% of 18-29 year olds in the 4-way. Both Stein and Johnson outperform him, Johnson by double digits.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #42 on: August 04, 2016, 10:21:54 PM »

Trump only gets 9% of 18-29 year olds in the 4-way. Both Stein and Johnson outperform him, Johnson by double digits.

Johnson beating Trump in 3 polls now with millennials. The other two are Fox and Yougov.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #43 on: August 04, 2016, 10:26:25 PM »


I think this is more accurate:

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Pyro
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« Reply #44 on: August 04, 2016, 10:29:07 PM »

Somewhere Jeb Bush is laughing his head off.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #45 on: August 04, 2016, 11:50:24 PM »

I had a very strong feeling the race would shape up this way, which is why I hadn't updated my prediction map since June. Smiley

Terrific news, regardless!



Clinton's not winning Mississippi or South Carolina - they're terribly inelastic. While I can see Texas being within single digits, 2016 is probably too early for it to actually flip. LOL at North Dakota voting for Clinton.

The rest of your map is possible though.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #46 on: August 05, 2016, 12:57:43 AM »

Calm down guys, it's still just a convention bounce. The horse race numbers should come back down to earth within the next few weeks.

That said, even factoring that in, he should not be down THIS much.
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Doimper
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« Reply #47 on: August 05, 2016, 01:49:17 AM »
« Edited: August 05, 2016, 01:52:44 AM by Doctor Imperialism »

Calm down guys, it's still just a convention bounce. The horse race numbers should come back down to earth within the next few weeks.

That said, even factoring that in, he should not be down THIS much.

Trump firing an artillery piece at his foot around the time the DNC concluded (Khan, Ryan/McCain nonendorsement, etc etc) probably gave Clinton's bump a, uh, bump.
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Badger
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« Reply #48 on: August 07, 2016, 01:57:29 AM »

I'm not quite willing to call this a blowout until we start seeing Clinton over 50% in poll after poll, in 4-ways.  But this is encouraging if you're rooting for Hillary.

About this. Stein and Johnson will wither to low single digits.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #49 on: August 07, 2016, 04:25:34 AM »
« Edited: August 07, 2016, 04:27:09 AM by IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi »

Wow. My prediction is not far off then.

With H+14, Trump keeps MS, LA, TX, MT and AK.

H+19 will match my prediction.

H+17 gets her all save MT, AK and LA.
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