PA-Franklin & Marshall College: Clinton +11

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Oh dear...

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Not the best pollster in the world, but holy cow!

You see, that was what led to my reaction... am I happy because it's a good number, or irritated that it's a good number from an unreliable pollster.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Junk poll for not including Johnson!

The margin would likely be the same.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

The only road without PA or FL requires either, WI, MN or MI.

Otherwise known as, in that case, he's f***ed.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Now, my question is... where is Progressive Canadian?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I have no doubt that Hilkary is leading in Pennsylvania at this point but I'm just wondering what's the partisan breakdown? An 11 point lead with a 93% white electorate is very high. If this is true, this would be embarrassing considering Romney lost by only 5 with a 78% electorate while not even competing there and he didn't have that working class whites advantage like Trump.

I think the main driver is suburban white people abandoning Trump

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I have no doubt that Hilkary is leading in Pennsylvania at this point but I'm just wondering what's the partisan breakdown? An 11 point lead with a 93% white electorate is very high. If this is true, this would be embarrassing considering Romney lost by only 5 with a 78% electorate while not even competing there and he didn't have that working class whites advantage like Trump.

I think the main driver is suburban white people abandoning Trump

Hell, even his #s among WCWs are abysmal.

There was one of the national polls that had Trump at about 56% with WCW but 44% with college Ed whites?

I think whatever increases in the WCW vote Trump is getting is on the margins at best, and he's getting killed by the college ed whites. Wasn't Hillary getting 60% in the Philly suburbs?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Just saying that this poll is composed of 10% or so more Democrats than Republicans, but this is still trouble for Don

The 2012 Exit poll had D 45% R 35%