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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  2024 Democratic Primary
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Author Topic: 2024 Democratic Primary  (Read 522 times)
Southern Delegate Spark
Spark498
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 5,279
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.88, S: -1.74


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« on: August 01, 2016, 08:38:15 am »
« edited: August 01, 2016, 08:45:16 am by Spark498 »



Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA)- 23 states + D.C., (42.4%)
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-CT)- 19 states, (34.7%)
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA)- 8 states, (23.9%)

Please post maps and discuss.
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evergreenarbor
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Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: -8.43

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« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2016, 02:11:09 pm »



Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ): 19 states + DC
VP Tim Kaine (D-VA): 17 states, drops out at the convention
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-CT): 14 states, drops out in early April

The primaries end with no candidate winning a majority of pledged delegates. Booker has a plurality, and is able to convince superdelegates to support him. Murphy endorses Booker before the convention and tells his delegates to support Booker. Booker wins a majority of delegates at the convention.

Also, the map ends up looking really weird because of strong three-way competition and Murphy dropping out (he would have won CT, RI, OR, MT, ND, and SD if he didn't).
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2016, 05:20:03 pm »


269: Governor Gavin Newsom - 39.5%
105: Governor Artur Davis - 30.3%
89: Representative Hannah Pingree - 17.9%
75: Senator Joaquin Castro - 11.4%
Others - 0.9%
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