CBS News national: Hillary up by 7 (and 6) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 06:56:24 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  CBS News national: Hillary up by 7 (and 6) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: CBS News national: Hillary up by 7 (and 6)  (Read 1242 times)
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,842
United States


« on: August 01, 2016, 06:40:12 AM »

Obama won by about 7% in 2008 and by 4% in 2012. Both times the races began with projections of virtual ties.

Barring extreme gaffes, an economic meltdown, or some international disaster, Donald Trump has no real chance. At this stage Mitt Romney had a chance, but it was a long-shot that depended upon him winning four disparate states scattered across the country (Colorado, Florida, Ohio, and Virginia) in which he had 50-50 chances of winning.

7% lead? If so she is ahead in all four states or may be trading Ohio for Georgia or Arizona.
Here's one Presidential election with about a 7% margin at the end:



FDR vs. Dewey, 1944

and another:



George H W Bush vs. Dukakis, 1988

and another:



Obama vs. McCain, 2008

The first one looks like "Don't change horses in the middle of the stream", a slogan used in 1864. 2016 is nothing like that. The other two involve late-season collapses. 
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,842
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2016, 09:26:42 AM »

Should Johnson and Weld get money (especially Koch-aine) behind them, then they are going to show what good campaigners they really are. Johnson and Weld are comparatively liberal for Republicans, but they are more orthodox Republicans than Trump. Seasoned politicians (both Johnson and Weld have held one of two the offices that successful candidates for the Presidency usually have -- Governor -- they both have an edge over Trump.

They should do better than Anderson in 1980 and Perot in either 1992 or 1996 based upon their prior achievements in political life. 
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 13 queries.