Parliamentary America 2016 - An Election Night TL
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Author Topic: Parliamentary America 2016 - An Election Night TL  (Read 3247 times)
LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #25 on: August 02, 2016, 06:57:32 AM »


Parties: Leaders and Deputies

SDP: Elizabeth Warren/Cory Booker
Liberal: Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine
Union: Claire McCaskill/John Kasich
Conservative: Paul Ryan/Mitch McConnell
USIP: Ted Cruz/Steve King
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: August 03, 2016, 10:58:17 AM »
« Edited: August 06, 2016, 07:59:37 AM by LLR »

First, we will head to Vermont to look at the results of the at-large seat. Bernie Sanders, SDP leader, has just retired, and the race is heated.

Tim Ashe 25%
Peter Shumlin 40%
Phil Scott 35%

Liberal gain from SDP

Next, we will look at the remaining Indiana and Kentucky districts.

IN-1

Pete Visclosky (inc.) 57%
Karen Freeman-Wilson 38.8%

Liberal hold


IN-8
Larry Bucshon (inc.) 60.6%
Ron Drake 26%
David Orentlicher 11.7%

Conservative hold

KY-1

Mike Pape 43%
Dorsey Ridley 44.6%
Miles Caughey Jr 9%

Union gain from Conservative

KY-2
Rand Paul (inc.) (unopposed)

Conservative hold

KY-3
Harold Bratcher 44.7%
John Yarmuth (inc.) 54.4%

Union hold

KY-6

Andy Barr (inc.) 70%
Nancy Jo Kemper 26.6%

USIP hold



This is the current seat count

Union 6
Conservative 4
Liberal 4
USIP 2

These seats were previously

Conservative 7
Liberal 3
USIP 3
Union 2
SDP 1



Map:





Thanks for reading! Smiley
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: August 06, 2016, 08:00:46 AM »

Hello ladies and gentlemen. Results have just finished coming in from the Commonwealth of Virginia.

VA-1

Rob Wittman (inc.) 77.6%
Matt Rowe 21.4%

Conservative hold

VA-2

Randy Forbes 26.6%
Pat Cardwell 4.5%
Scott Taylor 22%
Shaun Brown 45%

Liberal gain from Conservative


VA-3

Bobby Scott (inc.) (unopposed)

Liberal hold

VA-4
Mike Wade 38.8%
Terry McAuliffe (inc.) 60%

Liberal hold

VA-5
Tom Garrett 57.7%
Ward Armstrong 41.6%

Conservative hold


VA-6
Bob Goodlatte (inc.) (unopposed)

Conservative hold

VA-7
Dave Brat (inc.) 51.9%
Eric Cantor 44.4%

USIP hold

VA-8
Tim Kaine (inc.) 52.5%
Don Beyer 17%
Charles Hernick 28.6%

Liberal hold

VA-9
Morgan Griffith (inc.) 47.2%
David Bowers 37%
Bill Bunch 14.5%

Conservative hold

VA-10
Barbara Comstock (inc.) 68.4%
Jim Gilmore 9%
LuAnn Bennett 22.5%

Union hold

VA-11
Gerry Connolly Purple heart (inc.) (unopposed)

Union hold



Folks, this is the map so far tonight.



Liberal and Union have made most of the gains tonight, with conservative looking far behind.

Union 8
Conservative 8
Liberal 8
USIP 3

In seats formerly held by:

Conservative 12
Liberal 6
Union 4
USIP 4
SDP 1

You don't have to be a pundit to know who this looks good for.



Thanks for reading! Grin Feel free to comment or whatever
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MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
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« Reply #28 on: August 06, 2016, 09:00:17 PM »

Welcome back. We are now able to show our first results of the night. First, we'll head to Kentucky.

KY-4
Mitch McConnell (inc.) 48.8%
Jerry Peluso 35.2%
William Adkins 16%

Conservative hold

KY-5
Hal Rogers(inc.) 72.4%
Jim Holbert 26%

Conservative hold

Those two seats are both held by conservative incumbents, no surprise that they won. Next, we have our first wave of a nationwide exit poll.

Union 30%
Liberal 27%
Conservative 22%
USIP 13%
SDP 8%

Again, these are early results and can change, but they are certainly striking.

Now, to Indiana's results.

IN-2
Joe Donnelly (inc.) 39.8%
Jackie Walorsky 21.2%
Mike Pence 36%

Union hold

Seems that disgraced former MP Mike Pence couldn't withstand the apparent Union wave that's happening.

IN-3
Tim Roemer (inc.) 53%
Marlin Stutzman 29%
Thomas Hayhurst 15.6%

Liberal hold

IN-4
Todd Rokita (inc.) (unopposed)

USIP hold

IN-5
Steve Buyer (inc.) 43%
Eric Holcomb 56.5%

Union gain from Conservative

IN-6
Luke Messer (inc.) 48.8%
Brad Bookout 50.2%

Union gain from USIP

IN-7
Andre Carson (inc.) 65.6%
Catherine Ping 29%

Liberal hold

IN-9

Trey Hollingsworth 41%
Shelli Yoder 31%
Greg Zoeller 14%
Robert Hall 5%
Bill Thomas 5%

Union gain from Conservative



This is the current seat count

Union 4
Conservative 2
Liberal 2
USIP 1

Of these seats, only 1 was previously held by Union. Conservative held 4, USIP held 2, and Liberal also held 2. This appears to be a great step for Union, who invested heavily in Indiana.



Thanks for reading! Grin

Pence is in IN-6 not IN-2.
Stutzman is in IN-3 and is really popular in the district. Roemer would get stomped.

Rokita and Messer USIP? They're better with the Conservatives and Stutzman would be USIP.

Buyer retired in 2010 and would've been a Conservative/USIP crossbencher.

What rendered Pence disgraced? Pence is one of the cleanest in politics iirc.

How is Rand Paul not with the USIP? This party seems very down his alley.

I like the idea and would like to see more explanations on why some folks are in parties you wouldn't normally think they would be... How is Cruz the most hated man?
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #29 on: August 07, 2016, 02:59:07 PM »

Everyone check out Darren's game for this! Wink

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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #30 on: August 08, 2016, 09:42:40 AM »

Welcome back, folks. Today we head to South Carolina.

SC-1
Tim Scott (inc.) 69.8%
Jenny Horne 27%

Conservative hold

SC-2
Nikki Haley (inc.) 58%
Arik Bjorn 41%

Conservative hold

SC-3
Lindsey Graham (inc.) (unopposed)

Union hold

SC-4
Trey Gowdy (inc.) 62%
Chris Fedalei 33.2%

USIP hold

SC-5
Mick Mulvaney (inc.) 75%
Ray Craig 23%

USIP hold

SC-6
Jim Clyburn (inc.) 56%
Henry McMaster 42%

Liberal hold

SC-7
Tom Rice (inc.) 28%
Andre Bauer 36%
Stephen Wukela 35%

USIP gain from Conservative

Seat Count:

Conservative 10
Liberal 9
Union 9
USIP 6

Formerly held by:

Conservative 15
Liberal 7
USIP 6
Union 5
SDP 1



Map:



Thanks for reading! Feel free to comment! Grin
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #31 on: August 09, 2016, 07:11:26 PM »

Think I'll rally myself to do the FL/GA mega-update by end of this week
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #32 on: August 11, 2016, 08:35:27 AM »

Welcome back, ladies and gentlemen. We now have results from Georgia's 14 districts.

GA-1

Buddy Carter (inc.) (unopposed)

Conservative hold

GA-2
Sanford Bishop (inc.) 53%
David Perdue 36%
Greg Duke 9%

Union hold

GA-3
Angela Pendley 38%
Drew Ferguson 42%
Mike Crane 17%

Conservative gain from USIP

GA-4
Hank Johnson Jr. (inc.) 71%
Victor Armendariz 27%

Liberal hold


GA-5
John Lewis (inc.) (unopposed)

Liberal hold

GA-6
Johnny Isakson (inc.) 58%
Rodney Stooksbury 39%

Conservative hold

GA-7
Rob Woodall (inc.) 46%
Tom Price 27%
Rashid Malik 24%

USIP hold

GA-8
Austin Scott (inc.) 40%
Angela Hicks 15%
James Neal Harris 43%

Union gain from Conservative

GA-9

Doug Collins (inc.) 47%
Al Gainey 35%
Paul Broun 16%

Conservative hold

GA-10

Jody Hice (inc.) (unopposed)

USIP hold

GA-11

Barry Loudermilk (inc.) 62%
Don Wilson 10%
Daniel Cowan 27%

USIP hold

GA-12

Rick Allen (inc.) 41%
Eugene Yu 8%
Joyce Nolin 17%
Patricia McCracken 31%

Conservative hold

GA-13

David Scott (inc.) (unopposed)

Liberal hold

GA-14

Tom Graves (inc.) 78%
Mickey Tuck 20%

USIP hold



Seat Count

Conservative 15
Liberal 12
Union 11
USIP 10

Formerly held by

Conservative 20
USIP 11
Liberal 10
Union 6
SDP 1



Map:





Thanks for reading! Grin
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #33 on: August 13, 2016, 07:39:32 AM »

I'm perfectly content to stop this, since it appears nobody cares.


This is the first timeline I've put effort into, and I get a page of criticism and everyone ignores me. You guys are the best ing fans in the world! Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #34 on: August 13, 2016, 08:02:57 AM »

Don't worry LLR, we all love you. Kiss Kiss Kiss
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #35 on: August 13, 2016, 08:34:41 AM »

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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #36 on: August 13, 2016, 09:20:37 AM »

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Vern
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« Reply #37 on: August 13, 2016, 03:09:25 PM »

Just saw this today, and its great! Keep it up!
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #38 on: August 13, 2016, 08:56:26 PM »

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GAworth
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« Reply #39 on: August 14, 2016, 12:07:10 AM »


Seriously I think this is absolutely wonderful. I am surprised that the Union Party did not perform as well in GA
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Lachi
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« Reply #40 on: August 14, 2016, 09:21:44 AM »

How did a Clintonesque candidate win IN-3?
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #41 on: August 14, 2016, 09:25:54 AM »


Take my Indiana and Kentucky results with a grain of salt, they weren't very well thought out. Also vote-splitting, look at the results.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #42 on: August 14, 2016, 05:03:51 PM »

I was looking forward to the Florida update.
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #43 on: August 14, 2016, 05:04:25 PM »


I'll do it - it'll take some time, though
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #44 on: August 14, 2016, 05:06:19 PM »

^Good, I'm looking forward to it.
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #45 on: August 17, 2016, 01:30:05 PM »

Finally got the motivation to do this

FL-1
Matt Gaetz 35%
Greg Evers 17%
Mark Wichern 20%
Stephen Specht 26%

Conservative hold

FL-2
Steve Crapps 38%
Ken Sukhia 46%
Mary Thomas 14%

Conservative gain from Union

FL-3
Ted Yoho (inc.) 52%
Kenneth McGurn 47%

USIP hold

FL-4
Lake Ray 9%
John Rutherford 36%
Eric Smith 27%
Jay Fant 22%
Dave Bruderly 5%

USIP gain from Union

FL-5
Corrine Brown (inc.) 42%
Al Lawson 56%

SDP gain from Liberal

FL-6
Ron DeSantis (inc.) 66%
Dwayne Taylor 33%

USIP hold

FL-7
John Mica (inc.) (unopposed)

Conservative hold

FL-8
Bill Posey (inc.) 61%
Corry Westbrook 38%

Conservative hold

FL-9
Alan Grayson (inc.) 33%
Darren Soto 34%
Wanda Rentas 32%

Union gain from Liberal

FL-10
Thuy Lowe 24%
Val Demings 27%
Geraldine Thompson 46%

Liberal gain from Conservative

FL-11
Daniel Webster 40%
Kelly Rice 28%
Dave Koller 31%

Conservative hold

FL-12
Gus Bilirakis (inc.) (unopposed)

Union hold

FL-13

David Jolly (inc.) 42%
Mark Bircher 11%
Charlie Crist 45%

Liberal gain from Union

FL-14

Kathy Castor (inc.) (unopposed)

Liberal
hold


FL-15

Dennis Ross (inc.) 57%
Jim Lange 41%

Conservative hold

FL-16
Vern Buchanan (inc.) (unopposed)

Union
hold


FL-17
Tom Rooney (inc.) 77%
April Freeman 18%

Conservative hold


FL-18
Pat Murphy (inc.) 60%
Carl Domino 40%

Liberal hold

FL-19

Curt Clawson (inc.) 22%
Don Bongino 39%
Robert Neeld 30%

Conservative gain from USIP

FL-20
Alcee Hastings (inc.) (unopposed)

Liberal
hold

FL-21
Ted Deutch (inc.) (unopposed)

Liberal
hold

FL-22
Lois Frankel (inc.) 65%
Joseph Bensmihen 33%

Liberal hold

FL-23
Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (inc.) 39%
Tim Canova 22%
Marty Feigenbaum 38%

Liberal hold

FL-24
Frederica Wilson (inc.) 46%
Randal Hill 54%

Union
gain from Liberal

FL-25
Marco Rubio (inc.) (unopposed)

Conservative
hold

FL-26
Carlos Curbelo (inc.) 51%
Joe Garcia 47%

Union hold

FL-27
Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (inc.) (unopposed)

Union
hold



Seat count:

Conservative 24
Liberal 20
Union 17
USIP 13
SDP 1


Previously held by:

Conservative 28
Liberal 19
USIP 14
Union 13
SDP 1



Map:





Thanks for reading! Grin *hughughug*
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White Trash
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« Reply #46 on: August 17, 2016, 03:04:24 PM »

Come on Union! Do it for the working man!
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #47 on: August 17, 2016, 03:11:07 PM »

Come on Union! Do it for the working man!

Florida was a poor opportunity for Union pickups, given USIP's strength there
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #48 on: August 17, 2016, 06:24:10 PM »

As a thought, maybe if you did all the poll closings at once and then reported on key races, it might help lower your burden.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #49 on: August 17, 2016, 07:11:06 PM »

I really like this! One thing I'd consider is swapping T-Mac and Dad Jokes in VA - Kaine is a Richmond guy and McAuliffe is a NoVA man. Otherwise this is great.

Would be interesting to know who some of the previous PMs have been and during which years. Lot of opportunity there...
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