VA - RABA - Trump +4 (user search)

Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489

Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Re: VA - RABA - Trump +4

« on: July 31, 2016, 12:26:40 AM »

Quote from: Maxwell on July 31, 2016, 12:26:17 AM

If we need proof that RABA is trash

Indeed.

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon

Posts: 19,489

Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Re: VA - RABA - Trump +4

« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2016, 12:39:11 AM »

Quote from: Seriously? on July 31, 2016, 12:36:58 AM

Quote from: Spooky Mike on July 31, 2016, 12:31:08 AM

It was taken during Trump's bounce.

Hillary Clinton didn't have a 19-point bounce in two days. Virginia is basically a bellwether state that mirrors the national vote with an extremely slight tilt R.

Except with a s***house poll from a s***house pollster.

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon

Posts: 19,489

Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Re: VA - RABA - Trump +4

« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2016, 06:30:32 AM »

Quote from: LittleBigPlanet on July 31, 2016, 06:28:19 AM

Quote from: dspNY on July 31, 2016, 06:07:53 AM

I think every poll from this pollster must be taken with a serious grain of salt. There's no way Clinton is up 15 nationally and there's no way she's down 4 in VA with a VP from there, even when you factor bounces in one way or another

That applies literally to all the polls, since MOE is usually about 3-6 pps. So even if we has a perfectly conducted poll, the margin of victory could be 6-12 off due to it's JUST A POLL.

Ah, no.

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