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  Talk Elections
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  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  MO-Mason-Dixon: Blunt leads by 4
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Author Topic: MO-Mason-Dixon: Blunt leads by 4  (Read 1451 times)
heatcharger
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« on: July 29, 2016, 07:51:20 am »

http://bloximages.newyork1.vip.townnews.com/stltoday.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/e/a9/ea922fa3-95f2-55e3-a1df-5ce1ab4e2a2f/579a6a9a2b00d.pdf.pdf

Blunt 47
Kander 43

This poll also has Trump down 1, which is contrary to other polls we've seen where Blunt is underperforming Trump.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2016, 07:56:21 am »

Well, it's not the first poll that shows Kander being competitive.
I expect Blunt to win in the end but Kander seems to be a really strong candidate.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: July 29, 2016, 08:01:54 am »

Well, it's not the first poll that shows Kander being competitive.
I expect Blunt to win in the end but Kander seems to be a really strong candidate.

Yes, but the same poll shows Clinton leading Trump in Missouri. If Kander's underperforming Clinton, he's toast.
There are too many undecided for this presidential poll to be relevant, of course Clinton shouldnt leading in MO.  The  senate poll however seems to confirm what some other polls previously said.
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syntaxerror
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« Reply #3 on: July 29, 2016, 09:30:26 am »

Second poll in as many weeks showing Kander within margin of error.

He has a big shot here. Blunt's 33% approval rating is a recipe for disaster.

DSCC better start throwing money at this; I hope Schumer has a plan to take advantage.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #4 on: July 29, 2016, 09:36:42 am »

Well, it's not the first poll that shows Kander being competitive.
I expect Blunt to win in the end but Kander seems to be a really strong candidate.

Yes, but the same poll shows Clinton leading Trump in Missouri. If Kander's underperforming Clinton, he's toast.
Read the OP:
This poll also has Trump down 1, which is contrary to other polls we've seen where Blunt is underperforming Trump.
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Holmes
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« Reply #5 on: July 29, 2016, 10:34:43 am »

Well, it's not the first poll that shows Kander being competitive.
I expect Blunt to win in the end but Kander seems to be a really strong candidate.

Yes, but the same poll shows Clinton leading Trump in Missouri. If Kander's underperforming Clinton, he's toast.

He's overperforming Clinton - she's at 41 and he's at 43. Blunt is just overperforming Trump more in this poll.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #6 on: July 29, 2016, 12:29:33 pm »

This race is definitely going to be competitive.
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syntaxerror
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« Reply #7 on: July 29, 2016, 01:31:45 pm »

This race is definitely going to be competitive.

Surprising, to say the least. because everything I've heard coming out of Missouri is that Kander's boots-on-the-ground effort is lacking and that fundraising has dried up.

Is it different on the ground in MO?
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: July 29, 2016, 02:47:33 pm »

Not the best pollster, but this is in line with other results. Still, I think Blunt will pull it out.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #9 on: July 29, 2016, 03:06:00 pm »

Tempted to toss because of the presidential poll, but the numbers look plausible enough. If Blunt really is outperforming Trump (which I doubt) then he should be fine.

Still though, really bizarre poll considering the presidential result.
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