Rasmussen weekly tracker: Clinton+1

[Tender Branson]

Conducted Tuesday and yesterday evening:

43% Hillary (+1)
42% Trump (-1)
10% Others

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 26-27, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I... was not expecting that.

[The Other Castro]

Interesting note:

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[Wells]

How huge is this convention bump going to be??

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

This is the beginning of something amazing....mark my words. 

[Tender Branson]

How huge is this convention bump going to be??

The race was about C+2 to C+4 before the start of the GOP convention.

Trump got about a 4% bounce.

It looks like Hillary could get a 4-6% bounce, which means the race is back to about C+4 next week.

[StatesPoll]

You see? Red Avatars, Rasmussen isn't that horrible skewed pollster.

(in 2012, about national Poll it wasn't that horrible as Red Avatars are bashing, considering Margin of Error
Rasmussen's Final Poll(National) in 2012:
Nov,4th  Romney 49 Obama 48 -> Romney 47.2(-1.8%) Obama 51.1(+3.1%) )

[Wiz in Wis]

LOLBURGERS!

[dspNY]

[dspNY]

How huge is this convention bump going to be??

The race was about C+2 to C+4 before the start of the GOP convention.

Trump got about a 4% bounce.

It looks like Hillary could get a 4-6% bounce, which means the race is back to about C+4 next week.

And in a polarized electorate where both candidates are already at 100% name rec and almost completely locked in, that C+4 to C+6 would be a durable margin

[Erich Maria Remarque]

[Wiz in Wis]

Interesting note:

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Also means that it was taken DURING the Bill/Biden/Bloomberg/Kaine/Obama speeches. Probably means that Wed night not influential at all, and Tuesday only very marginally for half. If this shows anything, its Michelle, Warren, and Bernie.

#FeeltheBern

[Tender Branson]

Interesting note:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Also means that it was taken DURING the Bill/Biden/Bloomberg/Kaine/Obama speeches. Probably means that Wed night not influential at all, and Tuesday only very marginally for half. If this shows anything, its Michelle, Warren, and Bernie.

#FeeltheBern

Very likely before the Obama speech.

I seriously doubt that pollsters call people after 9pm ... (unless they are nuts and completely different than Austrian pollsters in that regard).

[Mehmentum]

So this is a 2 point change in margin (though the last poll was before Trump's speech, so it may be more in actuality).  However, the fact that half of it was before Bill Clinton's speech, and all of it was before Obama's speech is very encouraging.

[Fusionmunster]

Interesting note:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Also means that it was taken DURING the Bill/Biden/Bloomberg/Kaine/Obama speeches. Probably means that Wed night not influential at all, and Tuesday only very marginally for half. If this shows anything, its Michelle, Warren, and Bernie.

#FeeltheBern

This poll would be taken too late too show any effects from Wednesday night. At least on the east coast, Obama's speech ended at 11:30pm.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

As much as I'd like this to be true, you can't denounce Rasmussen as garbage then praise it when you like the results.

[Tender Branson]

If a pollster would call me at 10-11pm, I'd tell them I'd vote for TRUMP (when in fact I'd vote for Hillary), just to show the pollster the middle-finger through the telephone ...

[JRP1994]

As much as I'd like this to be true, you can't denounce Rasmussen as garbage then praise it when you like the results.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

As much as I'd like this to be true, you can't denounce Rasmussen as garbage then praise it when you like the results.

[Devout Centrist]

The hell is going on right now?

An outlier, at least at this point.

[Maxwell]

Even republican shill Rasmussen shows Clinton up!

[The Other Castro]

Everybody chill until next week when we get some polls from some decent pollsters.

[fldemfunds]

So Clinton got a convention bounce as well. Shocker!

A convention bounce before half the convention even takes place (assuming your explanation is true) does not portend well for Trump. It means she'd be in the 6-10% bump range, based solely on this poll.

This is just one poll, so throw it in the aggregator and call it a day. Excited for the slew of polls we'll get early next week.

[Chaddyr23]

WTF

[Xing]