NV-Rasmussen: Heck +1
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  NV-Rasmussen: Heck +1
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Author Topic: NV-Rasmussen: Heck +1  (Read 1298 times)
heatcharger
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« on: August 01, 2016, 03:32:02 PM »
« edited: August 01, 2016, 05:29:03 PM by heatcharger »

http://www.ktnv.com/news/political/new-ktnvrasmussen-poll-shows-post-dnc-narrow-lead-for-hillary-clinton-over-donald-trump?mc_cid=36c3591d7c&mc_eid=dcfe8daff0

Heck 42
Cortez-Masto 41

Poll conducted 7/29-7/31. 750 LV.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2016, 03:33:18 PM »

8 point swing since their last poll.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2016, 06:30:28 PM »

It's Classy Rassy™, so this isn't good for Heck, especially since he's only overperforming Trump by 2. I'd say he needs to overperform Trump by at least 5 to have a realistic chance of winning.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2016, 05:46:48 AM »

In mid September of 2012, Heller was only up one.

I think Heck wins 46-44.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2016, 09:18:51 AM »

In mid September of 2012, Heller was only up one.

I think Heck wins 46-44.

I'd advise you to look at the crosstabs. They are pretty much junk if you ask me.
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syntaxerror
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« Reply #5 on: August 02, 2016, 09:15:52 PM »

Heck up 1 in a Republican pollster? Lean D for me. Mastro will win as long as Clinton carries NV.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2016, 07:28:29 PM »

Heck up 1 in a Republican pollster? Lean D for me. Mastro will win as long as Clinton carries NV.
RCP has Rasmussen has +0.7 R.

In mid September of 2012, Heller was only up one.

I think Heck wins 46-44.

I'd advise you to look at the crosstabs. They are pretty much junk if you ask me.

http://www.cbsnews.com/election-results-2012/exit.shtml?state=NV&race=P&jurisdiction=0&party=G

They're all within two percent of right except Other, which this poll has 4% more of.
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