CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45%

[Gass3268]

Let's wait until next week (or even a few weeks) before everyone starts freaking out. There is still some decent fundamentals here for Clinton. Also another English only poll that only has Clinton up in the mid 40's with non-white voters, compared to the 60's when you include Spanish.

[Gass3268]

This poll did not have a Spanish option, the CBS poll (which shows essentially a tie) does.

I think that is something to look for as we go down the stretch.

[Gass3268]

it's just one poll, relax...no meaningful cross tabs and suspicious non white numbers. let trump fans enjoy their bump and check in with cnn after the dnc.

I think the English-only vs English-Spanish is going to be key when looking at future polls. You can probably add 1-3 points nationwide to Clinton if it's English-only.

[Gass3268]

Disgusting that Americans would rally around the worst convention ever. F-ck this man and the voters he attracts.

Maybe the obnoxious, elitist attitudes helped drive poor whites to Trump?

Reality hurts. Just because it's elitist doesn't mean I'm wrong. If you support Donald Trump you are an apologist for racism and anti-intellectualism. Maybe you've squared it by finding things to like in his other "positions" and aren't directly racist, but what you're willing to overlook in Trump's campaign speaks volumes about your values.

Forget the top lines in this poll. Trump is not going to win if he loses college educated whites; blacks, latinos and women. His coalition is a winning one for 1980, not 2016.

As for this poll, it's just one poll with strange cross tabs and not enough information in some of them. However they got to the top line is their decision, but when you look at the breakdowns Hillary is fine. Check in with them again after the DNC...something tells me you'll see the women #'s and POC #'s significantly increase.

You mean Hillary! is going to get a bounce from her convention? No way.

Look. I am willing to look at this as Trump and the Republicans having their convention, getting a bounce from it and taking the lead. It's normal. Barring a complete disaster, Hillary! should move the needle back a few points after this week.

With that said, I wish we could just bury the narrative that Trump is such a bad, evil Republican candidate that he was never going to lead and that he's only leading because X, Y and Z. Obviously, he's performing as a Republican should after a convention.

This is reasonable.

[Gass3268]

This poll is starting to feel a bit like an outlier.