CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45% (user search)
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  CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45% (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45%  (Read 3991 times)
StatesPoll
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« on: July 25, 2016, 07:17:53 AM »

white non-college grads:
Trump 61%
Clinton 23%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%
wow......

Non-White
Hillary 61%
TRUMP 21%
Johnso 11%
Stein 3%
None of the above & No Opinion 4%

Obama got 80% of non white voters in 2012 (Romney got 18%)
Hillary 61% (-19%)
TRUMP 21% (+3%)

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StatesPoll
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Posts: 441
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2016, 08:40:16 AM »

I will say, given the demographic breakdown among whites (grads vs no college) the Latino Decisions poll and what we expect from African-Americans, Hillary should be comfortably ahead in the electoral college. I just don't know how this poll was weighted.

The fact there are no numbers fro young people says they undersampled young people.

But Hillary is not comfortably ahead of minorities at the CNN/ORC July 22-24 Poll.

Minorities Voters(Non-White Voters)
Election 2012: Obama 80% Romney 18% Other 2%.  Spread: Obama +62%
CNN/ORC July 22-24: Hillary 61% TRUMP 21% Johnson 11% Stein 3%.  Spread: Hillary +40%

[url]http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/07/25/trump.clinton.poll.pdf]http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/07/25/trump.clinton.poll.pdf][url]http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/07/25/trump.clinton.poll.pdf
[/url]

 
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