This is today.
Last CRO poll:
People's Coalition 34.5
HDZ 27.2
Most 8.8
Živi Zid 6.0
Bandic (with new friends!) 3.1
ORaH-Labour-Josipovic 1.7
IDS 1.6
Others 5.6
Undecided 11.6
Actually, just check Wikipedia for the seat projections, will you?
I understand Pametno which appears to be a standard metropolitan right-liberal lot are rated quite highly for a seat in Zagreb.
The poll you mentioned was not from today.
It is a regular monthly poll which usually comes out 4.-5. of every month. This month however, it was not published beacause of the closenes to the election and the fact that it's a national poll.
Croatian parliament has 151 MPs. You need 76 for a majority.
Croatian territory is divided into 10 electoral constituenties. In each of those 14 MPs are elected with a 5% threshold.
Ethnic minorites are the 11th. constituenties. They have 8 MPs.
Diaspora is the 12th constituency. It has 3 MPs.
There have been 3 polls over the last month, all 3 have shown a tight race between the People's coalition (centre-left) and HDZ (centre-right). Predictions for both range from 55 to 60 MPs.
No one will come even close to having a majority. It will come down to who can make the best deal.
It's election day today.Roughly 3,8 milion people have the right to vote.
The number of people who have voted is published 3 times on election day:
- at 11:30 am
- at 16:30 pm
- somewhere around 22:00 pm
So far, it's been published that from the poll-opening at 07:00am to 11:30am , 640185 people have voted.
That's 18.86% of the electorate.
Compared to the last election (November 8th, 2015.), the number has gone down 3% or 45000 people.
