DSCC: Indiana Senate Bayh +21!!
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Author Topic: DSCC: Indiana Senate Bayh +21!!  (Read 2908 times)
Dr. Arch
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« on: July 18, 2016, 02:51:51 PM »
« edited: July 18, 2016, 02:59:32 PM by Arch »
New Poll Finds Evan Bayh Leading Congressman Todd Young by 21 Points with “Potential to Grow His Support”

Bayh (D): 54%
Young (R): 33%
Undecided: 13%

http://www.dscc.org/press-release/new-poll-finds-evan-bayh-leading-congressman-todd-young-21-points-potential-grow-support/
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2016, 02:57:59 PM »

Even with this being an internal, it's pretty concerning. Once Bayh is officially nominated on Friday, I'll move this to Lean D.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2016, 03:04:47 PM »
I wonder how Clinton's doing...
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2016, 03:05:39 PM »
XD
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #4 on: July 18, 2016, 03:08:54 PM »
This is definitely reason for concern, but a couple puzzling parts. Obama's approval is above water and at one point they say Bayh's name recognition is at 82%, while another place it says it is 54%. It's July and there is plenty to hit Bayh on, so I won't panic just yet. People don't have the frustration with Bayh that they had in 2010 because he's not an incumbent. Most Hoosiers just know that he was their popular governor and senator, then he resigned to "spend time with family."

It says she trails by 5.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: July 18, 2016, 03:14:34 PM »
But the GOP hacks told me this was still likely R! Bayh entered the race just for fun even though he knew he'd probably lose! Really, it's true!
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cxs018
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« Reply #6 on: July 18, 2016, 03:26:12 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on July 18, 2016, 03:14:34 PM
But the GOP hacks told me this was still likely R! Bayh entered the race just for fun even though he knew he'd probably lose! Really, it's true!

Meh. Indiana is close enough to WV that the super mega coattails will easily put this race in the Safe R column.
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Bismarck
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« Reply #7 on: July 18, 2016, 03:27:54 PM »
Bayh might win but it's not gonna be a landslide. Young is not well known yet and Bayh is. They just released this poll to scare donors off of Young.
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Holmes
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« Reply #8 on: July 18, 2016, 03:41:14 PM »
If an internal has a candidate up by 2-3%, it can be disregarded. But 21%...
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #9 on: July 18, 2016, 03:45:08 PM »
Bayh's got this. I'm not going to say Safe D, but it's definitely extremely Favored D.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #10 on: July 18, 2016, 04:06:53 PM »
The Midwest might just go completely D this year.
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Bismarck
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« Reply #11 on: July 18, 2016, 04:20:57 PM »
Quote from: Arch on July 18, 2016, 04:06:53 PM
The Midwest might just go completely D this year.

Trump will win Indiana. And the Great Plains but I know that isn't what you meant.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #12 on: July 18, 2016, 05:17:39 PM »
Quote from: St. Alphonso on July 18, 2016, 04:20:57 PM
Quote from: Arch on July 18, 2016, 04:06:53 PM
The Midwest might just go completely D this year.

Trump will win Indiana. And the Great Plains but I know that isn't what you meant.

Exactly.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: July 18, 2016, 05:20:57 PM »
Here is seat 4 and the majority!
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #14 on: July 18, 2016, 05:23:09 PM »
I don't like Schumer's politics, but man can that guy recruit candidates.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #15 on: July 18, 2016, 05:39:59 PM »
Can't fry the Bayh!
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #16 on: July 18, 2016, 06:02:03 PM »
Quote from: Senator Smith (Labor-MA) on July 18, 2016, 03:26:12 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on July 18, 2016, 03:14:34 PM
But the GOP hacks told me this was still likely R! Bayh entered the race just for fun even though he knew he'd probably lose! Really, it's true!

Meh. Indiana is close enough to WV that the super mega coattails will easily put this race in the Safe R column.
Damn, looks like someone is totally obsessed with WV and it is not Icespear.  Funny that. 

This was expected, maybe not the margin, but still ahead.
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Xing
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« Reply #17 on: July 18, 2016, 06:36:21 PM »
Holy sh*t! If he were up by 5-10, you could just point out that this poll is likely biased I his favor, but a 21 point lead!? Even if this poll has a massive Democratic bias, it still implies that Bayh is ahead.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #18 on: July 18, 2016, 06:42:54 PM »
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: July 18, 2016, 07:03:47 PM »

If this poll is anywhere near accurate, it's looking more like seat 1.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #20 on: July 18, 2016, 07:23:41 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on July 18, 2016, 07:03:47 PM

If this poll is anywhere near accurate, it's looking more like seat 1.
More like seat -3, considering this lead is bigger then CO, NV, or WA where Dems already hold the seats.
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Skye
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« Reply #21 on: July 18, 2016, 08:12:55 PM »
Bayh is a guy who won in landslides the last time he ran, is well known, is quite conservative for a democrat, AND, he has loads of money. So yeah, I wouldn't call this race Lean R.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #22 on: July 18, 2016, 08:19:43 PM »
Quote from: yeah_93 on July 18, 2016, 08:12:55 PM
Bayh is a guy who won in landslides the last time he ran, is well known, is quite conservative for a democrat, AND, he has loads of money. So yeah, I wouldn't call this race Lean R.

Looks like Likely D or Safe D if we keep getting these margins. Bayh appears to be a reverse Grassley.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #23 on: July 18, 2016, 10:03:33 PM »
DECISIVE AND TRIUMPHANT!!! THANK YOU INDIANA!

Let's just hope Bayh's reverse coattails deliver the state for Clinton too!
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Maxwell
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« Reply #24 on: July 18, 2016, 10:10:24 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on July 18, 2016, 10:03:33 PM
DECISIVE AND TRIUMPHANT!!! THANK YOU INDIANA!

Let's just hope Bayh's reverse coattails deliver the state for Clinton too!

And John "The Walrus" Gregg as Governor!
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