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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Internal poll megathread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 67523 times)
MasterJedi
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Posts: 21,612
United States


« on: August 19, 2016, 10:28:17 am »

Considering how Virginia and Colorado have basically shifted from tossup to likely dem overnight, its hard to find a state more similar to those two than NC. NC is the new VA.

Can't really say that for anyone other than Trump though. State would be close but I have to believe any other Republican would win it against Clinton especially.
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MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,612
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2016, 03:40:04 pm »

John Harwood tweet...Trumps advisers say their internal polls have them ahead in Iowa, Ohio and Nevada and behind in NH, NC and FL. PA, CO, VA and the upper Midwest are significant long shots for him

https://mobile.twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/784122190555848704



Aka they're finished, and with the way things are going NV won't go their way and I still suspect if he continues to crash Iowa and Ohio are gone too.
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MasterJedi
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Posts: 21,612
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2016, 09:12:35 am »

NBC moved the Dakotas and Montana to Lean Republican on their battleground map...do they have access to polling that we don't have to make that conclusion?

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-10-04/which-states-can-gary-johnson-and-jill-stein-spoil

Clarity Campaign Labs is projecting Montana to be a 1.1 Trump win. A Johnson surge or Trump collapse could move it in her favor.




Arkansas? Oklahoma? They can't be serious.

Well if third party vote share was 16% and took exclusively from Trump it is possible but it's not anywhere close to what actually will happen.
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MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,612
United States


« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2016, 10:06:01 am »

I'm worried that things are shifting again.  We need to close strong to win the White House and the Senate.

People got out of the "OMG emails" to "oh sh**t, Trump could actually win, hell no" mentality.
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