Internal poll megathread

[psychprofessor]

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https://twitter.com/MegKinnardAP/status/768258422131208192

Doesn't sound too far off actually.

Not if Virginia is double digits and NC is mid to high single digits. If that's the case Georgia is probably tied or slightly Clinton.

[psychprofessor]

Their polling is considered very good, and they are commissioned to do internals for quite a few campaigns.

They are very snarky and opinionated, but not partisan.

Thanks!

Every - or almost every - PPP private poll is for a Democrat or Democrat-leaning organization. When it comes to their private polling, PPP is as partisan as any pollster gets.

But their methods, robo polling, has an R lean this cycle. No interviews in Spanish and no live callers, so it's not like they would methodologically favor D's.

[psychprofessor]

Hmmmm.....

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn 9m9 minutes ago Washington, DC

Nate Cohn Retweeted Patrick Svitek

A real 'whoa if true'

Nate Cohn added,
Patrick Svitek @PatrickSvitek
Just in: @HillaryClinton's campaign is launching a one-week ad buy in Texas, per an aide.
0 replies 21 retweets 52 likes

[psychprofessor]

Not internal polling per se, but a good deep dive into the Florida operation by former Obama state organizer Steve Schale. He seems to think Florida is a lock for Clinton by 4-5 points, down ballot could be interesting:

http://steveschale.squarespace.com/blog/2016/10/21/18-days-out-are-dems-gonna-dem.html

[psychprofessor]

John Harwood tweet:

senior GOP Senate strategist: "Trump now tied in Indiana. down 11 in PA and 14 in NH. going down hard"

Holcomb and Young are so done if this is true.

would be hard to see toomey and ayotte overcome this drag on the top of the ticket as well

[psychprofessor]

At a fundraiser for Brad Ashford tonight, Xavier Becerra said that he saw a poll showing Clinton +1 in Texas.
https://twitter.com/davesund/status/791832331170353152?lang=en

Perhaps Trump needs to spend some time in the Mountain/SouthWest: AZ, UT, TX...who would have guessed these states would be +1, +3, +3 twelve days before election day?

[psychprofessor]

David Plouffe final call (Obama 2008 mastermind)

Clinton 50 / Trump 44

Clinton 342 EV's , Obama 2012 states, plus NC and NE-2, possibly 348 with Iowa