Internal poll megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 97097 times)
Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628


« on: July 22, 2016, 09:10:36 PM »

The numbers for the presidential race seem plausible.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628


« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2016, 11:58:44 AM »

Florida's gonna be reallllly tight this year

I'm gonna bank on everyone underestimating Puerto Rican participation and turnout and it not being as close as everyone expects.
http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/09/rubio-leads-by-2-in-internal-murphy-campaign-poll-105537

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 46-43 percent in Florida, according to the poll of 800 likely voters by Global Strategy Group.

Sept. 6-11; 40% of the survey respondents were Democrats, 38% Republicans and 22% independents — a generally representative breakdown of turnout by party in Florida presidential elections.
At the end of the article it says that they purposely over-sampled Hispanics
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628


« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2016, 05:17:16 PM »

If you add +5 since it's a D internal. It would be Trump +15 so Trump maybe is one or two points behind Romney
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628


« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 06:55:04 PM »

Are the PPP numbers polls are predictions?
I think so?
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