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  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Internal poll megathread
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 66181 times)
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #325 on: October 16, 2016, 10:31:11 pm »

https://twitter.com/thauserkstp/status/787854852709679104

MN-03 CD: SUSA Poll

Clinton 48%
Trump 35%
Johnson 4%
Stein 1%
Other/Undecided 11%

Obama won this district in 2012 by less than 1%.

This doesn't seem like an internal but it does show that Clinton will romp Trump in Minnesota.

Not an Internal. Didn't know the best place to post it and didn't think it deserved it's on thread so I figured it would be alright here.

You're good. I think there is precedent for CD polls being dumped here. Good looking #s indeed.
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dspNY
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« Reply #326 on: October 16, 2016, 10:32:00 pm »

https://twitter.com/thauserkstp/status/787854852709679104

MN-03 CD: SUSA Poll

Clinton 48%
Trump 35%
Johnson 4%
Stein 1%
Other/Undecided 11%

Obama won this district in 2012 by less than 1%.





Oof, if Clinton is winning this kind of district by 13, she will be competitive in counties like Delaware County (OH), Sheboygan (WI), and will win Northeast Iowa by the margins required to carry the state
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Fargobison
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« Reply #327 on: October 16, 2016, 10:39:39 pm »

MN must be a bloodbath if that poll is remotely on point.
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Xing
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« Reply #328 on: October 16, 2016, 10:45:52 pm »

If that's at all accurate, Paulsen is definitely in trouble.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #329 on: October 16, 2016, 10:46:25 pm »

If that's at all accurate, Paulsen is definitely in trouble.

He is up by 11

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https://twitter.com/thauserkstp/status/787854665761161216
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #330 on: October 16, 2016, 10:48:52 pm »


Geez, that's a lot of ticket-splitters.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #331 on: October 16, 2016, 10:49:53 pm »

it will be fun to figure out, which demographics, sub-cultures, regions and states are going to denounce trump the most.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #332 on: October 17, 2016, 10:52:07 am »

Hmmmm.....

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn 9m9 minutes ago Washington, DC

Nate Cohn Retweeted Patrick Svitek

A real 'whoa if true'

Nate Cohn added,
Patrick Svitek @PatrickSvitek
Just in: @HillaryClinton's campaign is launching a one-week ad buy in Texas, per an aide.
0 replies 21 retweets 52 likes
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Ebsy
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« Reply #333 on: October 17, 2016, 10:55:37 am »

https://www.scribd.com/document/327883693/CA-07-Tulchin-Research-for-the-DCCC-Oct-2016

Clinton +17 in CA-07. Obama won it by 5 points in 2008 and 4 points in 2012. Woah if true.
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Arch
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« Reply #334 on: October 17, 2016, 10:56:00 am »

Hmmmm.....

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn 9m9 minutes ago Washington, DC

Nate Cohn Retweeted Patrick Svitek

A real 'whoa if true'

Nate Cohn added,
Patrick Svitek @PatrickSvitek
Just in: @HillaryClinton's campaign is launching a one-week ad buy in Texas, per an aide.
0 replies 21 retweets 52 likes


Surprise. So the nightmare scenario is happening. Trump is being forced to defend Texas.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #335 on: October 17, 2016, 10:56:34 am »

Hmmmm.....

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn 9m9 minutes ago Washington, DC

Nate Cohn Retweeted Patrick Svitek

A real 'whoa if true'

Nate Cohn added,
Patrick Svitek @PatrickSvitek
Just in: @HillaryClinton's campaign is launching a one-week ad buy in Texas, per an aide.
0 replies 21 retweets 52 likes

Smart move. Can't wait to see how it plays out.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #336 on: October 17, 2016, 10:57:42 am »

http://elections.ap.org/content/ad-spending

From 9/4-9/10 they did a pointless $12k buy in Georgia... Just a troll move, more to create headlines and freak out Trump than to move numbers.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #337 on: October 17, 2016, 02:18:56 pm »

@markzbarabak

More evidence Arizona is in play: Fresh-out-of-the-field poll by GOP firm @azhighground shows Clinton +2, suggesting effectively a toss-up.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #338 on: October 17, 2016, 02:20:49 pm »

@markzbarabak

More evidence Arizona is in play: Fresh-out-of-the-field poll by GOP firm @azhighground shows Clinton +2, suggesting effectively a toss-up.

More likely a tilt D if that's the case.
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Jacindamania 2: Electoral Wololo
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« Reply #339 on: October 17, 2016, 02:55:41 pm »

https://www.scribd.com/document/327883693/CA-07-Tulchin-Research-for-the-DCCC-Oct-2016

Clinton +17 in CA-07. Obama won it by 5 points in 2008 and 4 points in 2012. Woah if true.

Did they poll anyone in Folsom? I'm from that district and I'm rather shocked to be honest. +10 for Clinton and +5 for Bera would be what I expected, but this is crazy. Both Bera and Jones have had attack ads put out against them re Jones's sexual harassment issues, Bera's father's illegal fundraising and Bera's support for the Iran deal. It is a decently educated suburban district, so maybe that plays into it? I really haven't seen that many signs for any candidate for president and only a smattering of signs for Jones.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #340 on: October 17, 2016, 02:58:01 pm »

https://www.scribd.com/document/327883693/CA-07-Tulchin-Research-for-the-DCCC-Oct-2016

Clinton +17 in CA-07. Obama won it by 5 points in 2008 and 4 points in 2012. Woah if true.

Did they poll anyone in Folsom? I'm from that district and I'm rather shocked to be honest. +10 for Clinton and +5 for Bera would be what I expected, but this is crazy. Both Bera and Jones have had attack ads put out against them re Jones's sexual harassment issues, Bera's father's illegal fundraising and Bera's support for the Iran deal. It is a decently educated suburban district, so maybe that plays into it? I really haven't seen that many signs for any candidate for president and only a smattering of signs for Jones.
Well educated suburb and Jones was one of the first to support Trump.

Bera isn't going to win by anywhere near that margin, but it could be around 3-4 points. I am from that district too.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #341 on: October 17, 2016, 03:10:42 pm »

https://www.scribd.com/document/327883693/CA-07-Tulchin-Research-for-the-DCCC-Oct-2016

Clinton +17 in CA-07. Obama won it by 5 points in 2008 and 4 points in 2012. Woah if true.

Did they poll anyone in Folsom? I'm from that district and I'm rather shocked to be honest. +10 for Clinton and +5 for Bera would be what I expected, but this is crazy. Both Bera and Jones have had attack ads put out against them re Jones's sexual harassment issues, Bera's father's illegal fundraising and Bera's support for the Iran deal. It is a decently educated suburban district, so maybe that plays into it? I really haven't seen that many signs for any candidate for president and only a smattering of signs for Jones.

Why do Republicans think that the Iran deal is a silver bullet against Democrats?
Unless there is an abnormal number of Orthodox Jews in the district this seems like a non-issue for most voters.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #342 on: October 17, 2016, 03:17:31 pm »

the iran deal is like benghazi 2012.

rallying up the base...not much interest with others.
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darthpi
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« Reply #343 on: October 17, 2016, 05:16:02 pm »

https://www.scribd.com/document/327883693/CA-07-Tulchin-Research-for-the-DCCC-Oct-2016

Clinton +17 in CA-07. Obama won it by 5 points in 2008 and 4 points in 2012. Woah if true.

Did they poll anyone in Folsom? I'm from that district and I'm rather shocked to be honest. +10 for Clinton and +5 for Bera would be what I expected, but this is crazy. Both Bera and Jones have had attack ads put out against them re Jones's sexual harassment issues, Bera's father's illegal fundraising and Bera's support for the Iran deal. It is a decently educated suburban district, so maybe that plays into it? I really haven't seen that many signs for any candidate for president and only a smattering of signs for Jones.

Why do Republicans think that the Iran deal is a silver bullet against Democrats?
Unless there is an abnormal number of Orthodox Jews in the district this seems like a non-issue for most voters.

Because the leadership of the party is still stuck in 1980.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #344 on: October 17, 2016, 10:18:49 pm »

https://twitter.com/thauserkstp/status/788215640721022976

Clinton leads Trump 44-36 in Minnesota's 2nd Cong. District according to SurveyUSA. Obama won this district by .1%.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #345 on: October 17, 2016, 10:50:08 pm »

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/788225427684880388

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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #346 on: October 17, 2016, 10:51:34 pm »

I doubt that many will split tickets.

Oh jesus, it could be Armageddon.
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gf20202
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« Reply #347 on: October 17, 2016, 10:54:14 pm »

Josh K is a pretty pathetic GOP-spinning mouthpiece. They are likely in worse shape than that in those senate races.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #348 on: October 17, 2016, 10:56:15 pm »

https://twitter.com/thauserkstp/status/788215640721022976

Clinton leads Trump 44-36 in Minnesota's 2nd Cong. District according to SurveyUSA. Obama won this district by .1%.

terrific news!
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #349 on: October 17, 2016, 10:57:07 pm »

He added another tweet:

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The 7th race is Florida, by the way, not Wisconsin (thank god).
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