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  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Internal poll megathread
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 64990 times)
Gass3268
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« Reply #150 on: September 17, 2016, 02:16:13 pm »

In PA's 8th CD, Republican internal poll shows Clinton (42-37) running ahead of Obama in 2012 (50-49).

Apparently I don't have enough posts to include links yet, but you can find it on The Morning Call (mcall.com) if you search for "Fitzpatrick with some good news for Clinton in the 8th District?"

(or just go to: mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-fitzpatrick-with-some-good-news-for-clinton-in-the-8th-district-20160916-story.html)
 
Nice try, Hillary! Accept that you are losing! Cheesy

This is from a Republican internal poll Huh
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #151 on: September 17, 2016, 02:54:05 pm »

In PA's 8th CD, Republican internal poll shows Clinton (42-37) running ahead of Obama in 2012 (50-49).

Apparently I don't have enough posts to include links yet, but you can find it on The Morning Call (mcall.com) if you search for "Fitzpatrick with some good news for Clinton in the 8th District?"

(or just go to: mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-fitzpatrick-with-some-good-news-for-clinton-in-the-8th-district-20160916-story.html)
 
Nice try, Hillary! Accept that you are losing! Cheesy

This is from a Republican internal poll Huh
Stop defending Hillary!
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swf541
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« Reply #152 on: September 17, 2016, 09:48:23 pm »

The poll was conducted Sep.6/7, so before the whole "basket of deplorables"/pneumonia thing.

Well taking into account the new PA poll, seems the last week didnt change much of anything in PA
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Gass3268
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« Reply #153 on: September 17, 2016, 11:03:39 pm »

Apparently, On Message Inc, a Republican polling firm, has Clinton tied with Trump at 45 percent each in Ohio. Devastating news for Trump, if true.

It was from AUG. 13-17.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #154 on: September 20, 2016, 08:16:22 am »

https://twitter.com/gdebenedetti/status/778220489437286400

Public polls have OH tight, but @AFLCIO's @RichardTrumka will today reveal internals w Trump 5pts behind Romney '12 among local union voters
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Ronnie
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« Reply #155 on: September 21, 2016, 02:39:06 pm »
« Edited: September 21, 2016, 02:40:43 pm by Ronnie »

Trump is up by 35 points in WY according to an internal that a firm, DFM Research, conducted for the Democratic nominee in WY-AL, Ryan Greene:

Donald Trump 54%
Hillary Clinton 19%
Gary Johnson 10%
Jill Stein 2%

https://www.scribd.com/document/324811878/WY-AL-DFM-Research-for-Ryan-Greene-Sept-2016
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« Reply #156 on: September 21, 2016, 02:47:44 pm »

Trump is up by 35 points in WY according to an internal that a firm, DFM Research, conducted for the Democratic nominee in WY-AL, Ryan Greene:

Donald Trump 54%
Hillary Clinton 19%
Gary Johnson 10%
Jill Stein 2%

https://www.scribd.com/document/324811878/WY-AL-DFM-Research-for-Ryan-Greene-Sept-2016

But I was told WY was a battleground state!
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #157 on: September 21, 2016, 10:20:33 pm »

http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/09/amid-corruption-issues-rivera-losing-to-unknown-asencio-in-fla-democratic-poll-105658

in Florida House District 118, Trump is trailing Democrat Hillary Clinton 49-43 percent. in 2012 President Obama won it by about 2 points
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #158 on: September 21, 2016, 10:41:46 pm »

Trump is up by 35 points in WY according to an internal that a firm, DFM Research, conducted for the Democratic nominee in WY-AL, Ryan Greene:

Donald Trump 54%
Hillary Clinton 19%
Gary Johnson 10%
Jill Stein 2%

https://www.scribd.com/document/324811878/WY-AL-DFM-Research-for-Ryan-Greene-Sept-2016

But I was told WY was a battleground state!

My thread was more satire than it was talking about an actual possibility. While a Reagan-esque landslide looked remotely possible in August, it clearly isn't now.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #159 on: September 21, 2016, 11:16:20 pm »

WV, Just Win Strategies (R):

57% Trump (R)
30% Clinton (D)

http://wvmetronews.com/2016/09/19/gop-poll-shows-tight-gubernatorial-race-much-closer-than-metronews-west-virginia-poll/
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cinyc
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« Reply #160 on: September 28, 2016, 08:16:40 pm »

Trump +8 in Missouri in an internal poll for Republican gubernatorial candidate Eric Greitens by the Tarrance Group:

Trump 46%
Clinton 38%

September 19-22; MoE +/- 4.1.

Koster is up by 3 in the governor's race.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #161 on: September 29, 2016, 03:57:29 pm »

Clinton +6 in CA-49 (Issa's district). Obama won it very narrowly in 2008, and lost in 52 to 46 in 2012 to Mitt Romney.
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swf541
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« Reply #162 on: September 29, 2016, 04:12:07 pm »

Trump +8 in Missouri in an internal poll for Republican gubernatorial candidate Eric Greitens by the Tarrance Group:

Trump 46%
Clinton 38%

September 19-22; MoE +/- 4.1.

Koster is up by 3 in the governor's race.

Thats rather low for an internal
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #163 on: September 30, 2016, 11:27:22 am »

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/dccc-poll-clinton-rosen-up-in-swing-district
Nevada's 3rd congressional district

The survey, taken this week of 458 likely voters and with a 4.5 percent margin of error, shows Clinton up 46-38 over Donald Trump, with Gary Johnson garnering 10 percent of the vote. (Clinton is up 5 in a two-way.)

President Obama won the district by 1 point in 2012 and 9 points in 2008.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #164 on: September 30, 2016, 12:01:45 pm »

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/dccc-poll-clinton-rosen-up-in-swing-district
Nevada's 3rd congressional district

The survey, taken this week of 458 likely voters and with a 4.5 percent margin of error, shows Clinton up 46-38 over Donald Trump, with Gary Johnson garnering 10 percent of the vote. (Clinton is up 5 in a two-way.)

President Obama won the district by 1 point in 2012 and 9 points in 2008.

Interesting how they didn't release the Senate race numbers. Not a good sign for Cortez-Masto.

To be fair, this is Heck's congressional district.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #165 on: September 30, 2016, 04:59:31 pm »

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/781959952948666369

Kyle Kondik of Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball got word of an Ohio Lucas County (Toledo) poll by Stan Odesky and Associates.

Clinton 50
Trump 23
Johnson 6
Stein 1
Undecided 21

Obama won it by 32, 65-33, and Kyle thinks her 27 point margin is decent, considering the undecideds.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #166 on: September 30, 2016, 05:00:47 pm »

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/dccc-poll-clinton-rosen-up-in-swing-district
Nevada's 3rd congressional district

The survey, taken this week of 458 likely voters and with a 4.5 percent margin of error, shows Clinton up 46-38 over Donald Trump, with Gary Johnson garnering 10 percent of the vote. (Clinton is up 5 in a two-way.)

President Obama won the district by 1 point in 2012 and 9 points in 2008.

Interesting how they didn't release the Senate race numbers. Not a good sign for Cortez-Masto.

House internals don't usually poll senate candidate, so this isn't exactly surprising.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #167 on: September 30, 2016, 05:04:17 pm »

https://www.scribd.com/document/325976866/IL-10-Normington-Petts-for-Brad-Schneider-Sept-2016

Clinton leads Trump 59 to 32 in IL-10, Dold's district. Way above Obama's 16 point margin in 2012 and similar to his 26 point margin in 2008. Schneider is ahead of Dold by 5, 46 to 41.
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Devils30
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« Reply #168 on: October 02, 2016, 12:14:50 pm »

There's no way Hillary wins NV-3 and loses the state.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #169 on: October 02, 2016, 02:10:11 pm »

Wow, I didn't really notice this thread.  Likewise, I've used it to update my ratings on how each congressional district will vote in the Presidential Election.  




Not that it matters much, since most states don't award electoral votes based on whoever wins each congressional district.  However, I would have bragging rights if I correctly predicted every CD for the presidential election.  Grin

Dos anyone know if there are polls for IL-6 and IL-14?  Obama lost both districts by 8% and 10% respectively, however that poll of the 10th shows Trump vastly under-preforming Romney's percentage there.  Trump seems like a pretty bad fit for the Chicago suburbs, so perhaps his weakness is not just limited to one district.    
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #170 on: October 02, 2016, 02:43:46 pm »

Hmmm.. ME-02 should definitely be a Tossup IMO.

At least a Tossup.  Lean R is probably closer to the current situation.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #171 on: October 02, 2016, 03:19:20 pm »
« Edited: October 02, 2016, 03:27:47 pm by Fuzzybigfoot »

Do the polls for Maine have a French speaking option?  Almost 4% (47,000) of Maine residents speak it, and most of them are likely located in the second district, closer to the Canadian border.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #172 on: October 02, 2016, 03:21:11 pm »

Do the polls for Maine have a French option?  Almost 4% (47,000) of Maine residents speak it, and most of them are likely located in the second district, closer to the Canadian border.

In addition, many of the French towns bordering Canada vote heavily Democratic.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #173 on: October 02, 2016, 10:38:45 pm »

Any takers?  Tongue
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cinyc
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« Reply #174 on: October 02, 2016, 10:45:27 pm »


Takers for what?  I doubt Maine pollsters poll in French.  As you pointed out, French-speaking Mainers are less than 10% of the population.  And most of them probably speak English, too, anyway, like many Québécois.
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