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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  VA: Hampton University: Clinton and Trump tied (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA: Hampton University: Clinton and Trump tied  (Read 3332 times)
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,177

« on: July 16, 2016, 02:12:56 pm »

Honestly, looking at the crosstabs, they weren't even trying with this poll. Equal party ID and 54% men. That's right. 2012 exit polls had it at 53% women to 47% men, but the great pollsters at Hampton University have discovered that 14% of Virginia's women have changed sexes in the last 4 years.

While unlikely, it's not out of question:

If males are more motivated to vote this year than women, it could produce an electorate that is overall more male than female.

For example if 51% of the population is female and they only have 55% turnout, while males (49%) have 65% turnout, you could get the electorate that the poll shows.

But yeah, that's still unlikely.

With Trump and Pence, women will be motivated to vote. Especially black and latina women. I actually think Colorado and Virginia are lost causes for Trump. He needs Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Iowa, etc...I don't think he gets it, but that's where he should be focusing.
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