If Trump supporters are staking all their hopes on both rampant poll unskewing and one or two polls with well-known issues & bias, then it's going to be rough on November 9th when reality sets in.
There are some indications that the race is tightening, for instance pew. But of course we need more evedence. I guess next week we'll get a bunch of polls from A pollsters.
You can think what you want, but the vast majority of data paints a very rosy picture for Clinton and Democrats downballot. We are not the ones desperately trying to rejigger polls to fit our narrative, and we have the vast majority of them showing us up by comfortable margins.
Further, if Democrats over-perform like we did in 2012, then a polling average of 2012 margins might be more troublesome for Republicans than you might think. I have every reason to feel confident in this, considering Trump has no ground game really to speak of and the RNC is already posting fundraising figures that are lower than 2012 - And this is when Trump is relying on them to basically do
everything. With this sort of "arrangement", the RNC should be pulling in significantly
more money, not less.
There is really no way to spin this. By almost every measure, Republicans are in awful shape right now and at least for the time being, there is little reason to think things will change. Can things change? Of course! Will they? Doubtful, given Trump's consistent record of ruining his own chances on a weekly basis with gaffes and offensive comments/arguments. Especially now given his commitment to being himself and hiring yes-men to encourage such.
