USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2

[Xing]

Now I guess Trump will win the PV easily, while losing the EC by more than Romney did.

/s

[Xing]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (7/19):
Trump - 43 (+/-)
Clinton - 43 (+1)
(#) denotes change from previous day

Aren't his numbers supposed to be going up doing convention time?

It'll probably take a couple of days for his convention bounce (assuming he gets one) to become apparent.

[Xing]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (7/20):
Trump - 43 (+/-)
Clinton - 43 (+/-)
(#) denotes change from previous day

as a note, Clinton now leads in decimals for the first time, 43.4 to 42.8.

It's as if the RNC isn't happening.

Better yet, it is happening, and people outside of the convention are having the appropriate reaction.

[Xing]

If he's still up by this much next week, then I'll be worried. This was to be expected.

[Xing]

Looks like Hillary's basket comments may be helping her.

The full effect won't appear in this poll for a few days. It hasn't even started, actually.

Most people that would vote for already know that about Trump and his hard core supporters. So I expect it will help.

I don't think it'll make much of a difference. People who are offended by it wouldn't have voted for Hillary in the first place, and people who agree with it are either already voting for her, or have made it  clear that this sort of thing isn't an issue for them.

[Xing]

I wonder if this poll will end up being off by double digits, in the end.