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January 23, 2021, 03:32:22 PM
Talk Elections
Election Archive
Election Archive
2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2
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Topic: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2 (Read 66133 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,500
Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/11 - Clinton +1
«
Reply #200 on:
August 13, 2016, 07:31:09 AM »
Quote from: King on August 13, 2016, 07:20:12 AM
why are millenials so conservative in this sample? they made a huge mistake there and their concept doesn't allow for it to be corrected.
Yeah - it's been f***ed from day one.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,029
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/12 - Clinton +4
«
Reply #201 on:
August 14, 2016, 02:14:37 AM »
USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/13)
Clinton +4.7%
Clinton: 46.3% (+0.6%)
Trump: 41.6% (-0.6%)
Seems like they are adding voters to the sample. Sample size was ~2,200. It's now ~2,300.
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Monstro Believed in a Blue Georgia (and a Blue Texas)
Interlocutor
YaBB God
Posts: 4,271
Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/12 - Clinton +4
«
Reply #202 on:
August 14, 2016, 02:19:33 AM »
7th day in a row that Trump drops in voter intention (-4.5 since August 7). He sure is doing a great job motivating his base
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Seriously?
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,029
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/13 - Clinton +5
«
Reply #203 on:
August 15, 2016, 02:15:26 AM »
USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/14)
Clinton +3.6%
Clinton: 45.6% (-0.7%)
Trump: 42.0% (+0.4%)
Sample size went up from 2,325 to 2,510 from Saturday to Sunday's sample.
Sample was in the 2,100 range earlier in the week. I think eventually, they want this poll to be ~400 to 500 voters a day. (7-day average)
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Seriously?
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,029
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/14 - Clinton +4
«
Reply #204 on:
August 16, 2016, 02:16:25 AM »
«
Edited:
August 17, 2016, 02:14:05 AM
by
Seriously? »
USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/15)
Clinton +3.4%
Clinton: 45.5% (-0.1%)
Trump: 42.1% (+0.1%)
Sample size increase seemed to slow on Monday. Up marginally from 2,510 to 2,539.
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Seriously?
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,029
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/15 - Clinton +3.4
«
Reply #205 on:
August 17, 2016, 02:13:45 AM »
USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/16)
Clinton +1.0%
Clinton: 44.2% (-1.3%)
Trump: 43.2% (+1.1%)
A good day for Trump.
Sample size increase up marginally from 2,539 to 2,551.
Logged
OwlRhetoric
Jr. Member
Posts: 298
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/16 - Clinton +1
«
Reply #206 on:
August 17, 2016, 02:42:26 PM »
Nice to see Trump gaining again.
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President Johnson
Atlas Icon
Posts: 15,319
Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -5.20
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/16 - Clinton +1
«
Reply #207 on:
August 17, 2016, 02:43:18 PM »
Clinton +1 is laughable. I thought the LA Times is a liberal newspaper.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
Posts: 3,646
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/16 - Clinton +1
«
Reply #208 on:
August 17, 2016, 03:26:36 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on August 17, 2016, 02:43:18 PM
Clinton +1 is laughable. I thought the LA Times is a
liberal newspaper
.
You mean that liberal newspapers use a liberal methodologies in their liberal polls?
It is not really a poll. They use the same members all over again. It means that such polls will have an inbuilt bias (it seems like it favors 5-6 pps towards Trump), but it will probably better on "catching trends" (but with 7 day lagging).
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Seriously?
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,029
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/16 - Clinton +1
«
Reply #209 on:
August 18, 2016, 02:16:01 AM »
«
Edited:
August 19, 2016, 02:13:17 AM
by
Seriously? »
USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/17)
Clinton +0.6%
Clinton: 44.0% (-0.2%)
Trump: 43.4% (+0.2%)
Sample size fell from 2,551 to 2,500.
Voter intensity has closed to 82.3 Clinton vs. 82.1 Trump. Trump's numbers have rebounded from 78.8 earlier in the week.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,029
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/17 - Clinton +0.6
«
Reply #210 on:
August 19, 2016, 02:12:49 AM »
USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/18)
Clinton +1.2%
Clinton: 44.6% (+0.6%)
Trump: 43.4% (--%)
Logged
Wiz in Wis
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,706
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/17 - Clinton +0.6
«
Reply #211 on:
August 19, 2016, 10:24:26 AM »
Quote from: Seriously? on August 19, 2016, 02:12:49 AM
USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/18)
Clinton +1.2%
Clinton: 44.6% (+0.6%)
Trump: 43.4% (--%)
HILLARY DOUBLES HER MARGIN OVERNIGHT!
- If Hillary tweeted.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
Posts: 3,646
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/17 - Clinton +0.6
«
Reply #212 on:
August 19, 2016, 10:25:21 AM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on August 19, 2016, 10:24:26 AM
Quote from: Seriously? on August 19, 2016, 02:12:49 AM
USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/18)
Clinton +1.2%
Clinton: 44.6% (+0.6%)
Trump: 43.4% (--%)
HILLARY DOUBLES HER MARGIN OVERNIGHT!
- If Hillary tweeted.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,029
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/18 - Clinton +1.2
«
Reply #213 on:
August 20, 2016, 02:15:14 AM »
USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/19)
Trump +0.6%
Trump: 44.2% (+0.8%)
Clinton: 43.6% (-1.0%)
The Donald's first lead since August 2nd.
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,038
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/18 - Clinton +1.2
«
Reply #214 on:
August 20, 2016, 09:13:29 AM »
Fantastic!
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America Needs Jesus Christ
ExtremeRepublican
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 8,903
Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/19 - Trump +0.6
«
Reply #215 on:
August 20, 2016, 09:43:02 AM »
It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least. There's still a long way to go!
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
Posts: 28,515
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/19 - Trump +0.6
«
Reply #216 on:
August 20, 2016, 09:48:09 AM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on August 20, 2016, 09:43:02 AM
It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least. There's still a long way to go!
It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
Posts: 3,646
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/19 - Trump +0.6
«
Reply #217 on:
August 20, 2016, 10:06:51 AM »
Quote from: Maxwell on August 20, 2016, 09:48:09 AM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on August 20, 2016, 09:43:02 AM
It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least. There's still a long way to go!
It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,483
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/19 - Trump +0.6
«
Reply #218 on:
August 20, 2016, 10:19:58 AM »
Quote from: LittleBigPlanet on August 20, 2016, 10:06:51 AM
Quote from: Maxwell on August 20, 2016, 09:48:09 AM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on August 20, 2016, 09:43:02 AM
It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least. There's still a long way to go!
It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
This poll has issues. The sub-sample does not change, meaning that they randomly poll from the same group of people everyday. The poll has a heavy R-bias due to the non changing sample, even LA times admits thats.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
Posts: 28,515
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/18 - Clinton +1.2
«
Reply #219 on:
August 20, 2016, 10:43:19 AM »
uh i could go to just about any other poll and see more reliable data in my favor.
you clowns literally only have this and a bunch of InfoWars-level kooks to give you stuff in your favor.
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JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
Posts: 4,489
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/18 - Clinton +1.2
«
Reply #220 on:
August 20, 2016, 10:53:15 AM »
Quote from: LittleBigPlanet on August 20, 2016, 10:06:51 AM
Quote from: Maxwell on August 20, 2016, 09:48:09 AM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on August 20, 2016, 09:43:02 AM
It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least. There's still a long way to go!
It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
Were're not the ones believing a poll that the makers have even said has a Republican bias. But go on with your "dank memes".
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,029
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/19 - Trump +0.6
«
Reply #221 on:
August 20, 2016, 11:31:13 AM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on August 20, 2016, 09:43:02 AM
It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least. There's still a long way to go!
That's my take on this. The convention bounce seems to have faded and we are at pre-convention levels with most polls. That's not just from this poll, but reading the basket of polls that have been released over the past week or so.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
Posts: 3,646
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/19 - Trump +0.6
«
Reply #222 on:
August 20, 2016, 11:35:48 AM »
Quote from: Fusionmunster on August 20, 2016, 10:19:58 AM
Quote from: LittleBigPlanet on August 20, 2016, 10:06:51 AM
Quote from: Maxwell on August 20, 2016, 09:48:09 AM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on August 20, 2016, 09:43:02 AM
It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least. There's still a long way to go!
It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
This poll has issues. The sub-sample does not change, meaning that they randomly poll from the same group of people everyday. The poll has a heavy R-bias due to the non changing sample, even LA times admits thats.
Yes. Everybody's agree that it have some constant bias (probably 5-7 pps). So the statement that margins are down to those in 2012 is pretty reasonable. And is consistent with pew.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
Posts: 3,646
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/18 - Clinton +1.2
«
Reply #223 on:
August 20, 2016, 11:37:59 AM »
Quote from: JerryArkansas on August 20, 2016, 10:53:15 AM
Quote from: LittleBigPlanet on August 20, 2016, 10:06:51 AM
Quote from: Maxwell on August 20, 2016, 09:48:09 AM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on August 20, 2016, 09:43:02 AM
It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least. There's still a long way to go!
It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
Were're not the ones believing a poll that the makers have even said has a Republican bias. But go on with your "dank memes".
538 believes (with some adjustments). I rather believe Nate than anonymous red hacks
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
Posts: 4,489
Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 8/18 - Clinton +1.2
«
Reply #224 on:
August 20, 2016, 11:49:21 AM »
Quote from: LittleBigPlanet on August 20, 2016, 11:37:59 AM
Quote from: JerryArkansas on August 20, 2016, 10:53:15 AM
Quote from: LittleBigPlanet on August 20, 2016, 10:06:51 AM
Quote from: Maxwell on August 20, 2016, 09:48:09 AM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on August 20, 2016, 09:43:02 AM
It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least. There's still a long way to go!
It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
Were're not the ones believing a poll that the makers have even said has a Republican bias. But go on with your "dank memes".
538 believes (with some adjustments). I rather believe Nate than anonymous red hacks
Nate Silver also believed that Trump would just fade away. He's not the most trustworthy.
Logged
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