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  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2
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Author Topic: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2  (Read 64995 times)
MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #325 on: September 05, 2016, 05:04:07 pm »

Trump is definitely over performing in Iowa and NV, but he's not close enough to take a Natl lead.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #326 on: September 06, 2016, 02:11:41 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 9/5) Trump +0.7%
Trump: 44.3% (-0.4)
Clinton: 43.6% (+0.9)
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Wells
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« Reply #327 on: September 06, 2016, 05:57:34 am »

Old Formula
Clinton 49% (+4)
Trump 42% (-1)

New Formula
Clinton 47% (+3)
Trump 43% (+/-0)
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #328 on: September 06, 2016, 09:05:50 am »

Yeah. I definitely thought that Clinton calling him out would take the wind of his sails but it seemed to have the opposite effect. It now seems that Trump's attempt to stand up for what he believes in has also backfired. Two swings and a misses in a row. It seems like a very strange campaign. People are very concerned about Trump yet they feel sorry for him and feel like Clinton is trying to tell them how to feel every time she raises those concerns.  Trump needs to go on the offensive but Clinton cannot afford to stay on the Defensive.

It seems that even a very slim victory by Trump could be seen as a "realignment" or an "unalignment".
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #329 on: September 06, 2016, 09:15:46 am »

Maybe we are seeing the effects of his wild immigration speech after the boost from last week?
Might be. There are similar trends in Ipsos and CVoter. We have to wait.
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #330 on: September 06, 2016, 03:55:45 pm »
« Edited: September 06, 2016, 04:00:51 pm by Spicy Purrito »

Yeah. I definitely thought that Clinton calling him out would take the wind of his sails but it seemed to have the opposite effect. It now seems that Trump's attempt to stand up for what he believes in has also backfired. Two swings and a misses in a row. It seems like a very strange campaign. People are very concerned about Trump yet they feel sorry for him and feel like Clinton is trying to tell them how to feel every time she raises those concerns.  Trump needs to go on the offensive but Clinton cannot afford to stay on the Defensive.

It seems that even a very slim victory by Trump could be seen as a "realignment" or an "unalignment".

In retrospect, I think the Trump = KKK speech/ad campaign was really dumb as it may have just pushed non-college whites more toward voting as a block.  Clinton's still up in the aggregate, but she can't afford a bad 1st debate like Obama.

So, basically we are heading towards a future where non-middle class whites (those whose educational achievement is in the bottom 70% or are in the top 1-5%) will  constitute an "ethnic" group? You could say the entire "religious right" thing was just a transitional phase towards this.  Is there a way this ends benignly?
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« Reply #331 on: September 07, 2016, 02:14:48 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 9/6) Clinton +0.3%
Clinton: 44.1% (+0.5)
Trump: 43.8% (-0.5)

First Clinton lead since 8/27.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #332 on: September 07, 2016, 03:26:04 am »

sh**t,  hope,  it's just a fluctuations Sad
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Wells
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« Reply #333 on: September 07, 2016, 06:18:53 pm »

Old Formula
Clinton 47% (-2)
Trump 41% (-1)

New Formula
Clinton 45% (-2)
Trump 42% (-1)
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Maxwell
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« Reply #334 on: September 07, 2016, 06:19:48 pm »

sh**t,  hope,  it's just a fluctuations Sad

that's all these polls are, so you have nothing to worry about.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #335 on: September 07, 2016, 06:29:20 pm »

sh**t,  hope,  it's just a fluctuations Sad

that's all these polls are, so you have nothing to worry about.
Are you kidding me? This poll has been most trustfull among all the polls in this election. On trends Wink

But it'd be nice, if CNN poll was right about the race Smiley
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« Reply #336 on: September 08, 2016, 02:13:26 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 9/7) Clinton +1.1%
Clinton: 44.5% (+0.4)
Trump: 43.4% (-0.4)

It will show as Clinton +2 due to rounding.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #337 on: September 08, 2016, 05:42:39 am »

Splendid news. Hillary's numbers are rising faster that a teenager's dick while he is reading SI's swimsuit edition.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #338 on: September 08, 2016, 06:00:18 am »

Splendid news. Hillary's numbers are rising faster that a teenager's dick while he is reading SI's swimsuit edition.

I admit, I giggled.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #339 on: September 08, 2016, 07:58:25 am »

Splendid news. Hillary's numbers are rising faster that a teenager's dick while he is reading SI's swimsuit edition.

I admit, I giggled.
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afleitch
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« Reply #340 on: September 08, 2016, 10:25:41 am »

I still struggle to understand why they consistently find Bush '04 levels of support amongst Hispanics for Trump.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #341 on: September 08, 2016, 11:00:48 am »

I still struggle to understand why they consistently find Bush '04 levels of support amongst Hispanics for Trump.
They adjusted it to show support based on 2012.  Doing that was always going to produce crap results.
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Wells
MikeWells12
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« Reply #342 on: September 08, 2016, 03:18:28 pm »

Old Formula
Clinton 47% (+/-0)
Trump 41% (+/-0)

New Formula
Clinton 45% (+/-0)
Trump 42% (+/-0)
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« Reply #343 on: September 09, 2016, 02:11:58 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 9/8) Clinton +0.2%
Clinton: 44.5% (--)
Trump: 44.3% (+0.9)
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skoods
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« Reply #344 on: September 09, 2016, 07:42:58 am »

These tracking polls seem about as useful as a poopy flavored lollipop.
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #345 on: September 09, 2016, 07:53:25 am »

These tracking polls seem about as useful as a poopy flavored lollipop.
Ehhh.. NS is right. Add/Take about four to it.
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Wells
MikeWells12
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« Reply #346 on: September 09, 2016, 02:22:55 pm »

Actually, the most pro-Clinton day before she took the lead rolled off the average, and it responded accordingly. This was to be expected. And the old formula will look a little weird.

Old Formula
Trump 50% (+9)
Clinton 45% (-2)

New Formula
Trump 48% (+6)
Clinton 44% (-1)
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« Reply #347 on: September 10, 2016, 02:13:23 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 9/9) Clinton +1.0%
Clinton: 44.8% (+0.3)
Trump: 43.8% (-0.5)
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #348 on: September 10, 2016, 07:42:35 am »

Magnificent poll! Trump is crumbling like Steph Curry during an NBA final.
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Wells
MikeWells12
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« Reply #349 on: September 10, 2016, 12:56:53 pm »

Old Formula
Clinton 47% (+2)
Trump 41% (-9)

New Formula
Clinton 45% (+1)
Trump 42% (-6)

Yesterday was just statistical noise.
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