NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton up in CO, FL, NC, VA (user search)
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  NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton up in CO, FL, NC, VA (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton up in CO, FL, NC, VA  (Read 7964 times)
HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« on: July 15, 2016, 08:35:32 AM »
« edited: July 15, 2016, 08:37:31 AM by HillOfANight »


Marist took a day to post the other ones.
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/715-colorado-florida-north-carolina-virginia-clinton-with-pre-convention-advantage/
It's up now.

Florida
North/Panhandle: Clinton 40 Trump 41
Orlando: Clinton 37 Trump 41
Tampa: Clinton 43 Trump 33
Mid Florida: Clinton 32 Trump 45
Miami: Clinton 57 Trump 39

White: Clinton 35 Trump 46
Latino: Clinton 50 Trump 29

North Carolina
White: Clinton 31 Trump 49
White non college: Clinton 24 Trump 56
White college: Clinton 39 Trump 41

Virginia
White: Clinton 35 Trump 45
White non college: Clinton 29 Trump 54
White college: Clinton 42 Trump 35
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2016, 12:06:31 PM »

Wait, why is Trump losing the panhandle and losing men!

Crosstab wackiness. Trump's up big in the panhandle and Clinton is up in Orlando. Obviously.

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/FLpolls/FL121007/General%20Election%202012/Complete%20October%2011,%202012%20%20Florida%20NBC%20News_WSJ_Marist%20Poll%20Tables.pdf

Their October 11, 2012 poll for comparison (1 point Obama lead, which nailed it).

It was R+16 in North/Panhandle, now R+1
D+3 in Orlando, now R+4
R+11 in Tampa,  now D+10
R+10 in South Central, now R+13
D+25 in Miami, now D+18
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2016, 12:26:33 PM »
« Edited: July 15, 2016, 12:29:06 PM by HillOfANight »

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f314592b-a46a-4fc9-8621-19f500aada3f

This is another data point to compare, SurveyUSA's late June poll.
They define exactly what counties are in their region results.

http://www.surveyusa.com/SUSA_Regional_Definitions_As_Of_081029.htm

Northwest (8% of FL)
Clinton 40
Trump 44

Northeast (9%)
Clinton 36
Trump 53

Central (31%)
Clinton 41
Trump 45[/color]

Southwest (23%)
Clinton 44
Trump 44

Southeast (30%)
Clinton 56
Trump 32
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