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  Talk Elections
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  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Morning Consult polls every state (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult polls every state  (Read 4513 times)
michelle
MikeWells12
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« on: July 14, 2016, 12:47:57 pm »

What are the national popular vote numbers? I'm sure that they would be super accurate, considering this is of 57,000 RV.
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michelle
MikeWells12
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,992
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: 0.35

P

« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2016, 02:00:18 pm »

What are the national popular vote numbers? I'm sure that they would be super accurate, considering this is of 57,000 RV.

I plugged the percentages into my own turnout model and got

Clinton - 42.9%
Trump - 40.1%
Other/Undecided - 17.0%

Interestingly, the model predicted that ME-2 would go to Trump and NE-2 would go to Clinton. But the  calculated sample sizes were so small that I'd hardly give them any credence.

It would be nice if Morning Consult would cough up the actual numbers

Edit: Should have proofread. I incorrectly entered a couple of percentages.

Cool, thanks.
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