FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Trump leads or tied in all three states

[Devout Centrist]

Once again the crosstabs on these polls are way off

In 2012 the Ohio electorate was 79% white, 15% black. Q has the white vote at 82% and the black vote at 12% here

Ohio's 2012 electorate was D+8 (D38/R30/I31). Q has an even electorate (30D/30R/34I)

In 2012 the Florida electorate was D+2 (35D/33R/32I). Q has an R+2 electorate here (31R/29D/32I)

Simple -- they're assuming a higher turnout among Republicans, as they had record turnout in the primaries and Trump is getting all of the attention.

In 2012, Republicans were making the same argument that you're making now (i.e. "the polls are oversampling the other party").

But the pollsters that did the whole "unskew" idea lost big time on Election Day.

[Devout Centrist]

It's the emails. I wonder what the result of Dallas will be.

None, most likely. Brexit and Orlando did nothing to the average.