Which State is Easier to Flip?
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  Which State is Easier to Flip?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Which Traditionally Republican State is Easier to Flip for Democrats in 2016?
#1
Utah
#2
Montana
#3
South Dakota
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Author Topic: Which State is Easier to Flip?  (Read 579 times)
avashi
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« on: July 12, 2016, 02:17:50 PM »
Please feel free to explain the rationale behind your vote.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2016, 02:20:20 PM »
Montana.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #2 on: July 12, 2016, 02:32:10 PM »
I voted Montana.
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diskymike44
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« Reply #3 on: July 12, 2016, 02:33:42 PM »
I been sayin South Dakota because you will be shocked of how many people love Hillary here lol.  Especially those old farmer women.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: July 12, 2016, 02:42:36 PM »
South Dakota always looks like it's going to trend towards the Democrats in presidential elections, but it never happens.

I voted Montana.
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Wells
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« Reply #5 on: July 12, 2016, 02:43:20 PM »
Montana.
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anthonyjg
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« Reply #6 on: July 12, 2016, 02:43:32 PM »
Any other year i would say Montana, but this year i think Utah.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: July 12, 2016, 03:10:38 PM »
Quote from: anty1691 on July 12, 2016, 02:43:32 PM
Any other year i would say Montana, but this year i think Utah.

The whole Utah situation is difficult to read without more polling.  Right now I think Montana will go around D+12, Utah more like D+15.  Conservatively.  But Utah could move way up to flipping at D+10 or even D+8.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #8 on: July 12, 2016, 03:11:40 PM »
Obviously SD, you all know why. Smiley
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #9 on: July 12, 2016, 03:16:05 PM »
I am going to go ahead and say Utah, because if for some reason you can flip the Mormon vote, then its over.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #10 on: July 12, 2016, 03:17:19 PM »
Utah, probably. If Trump remains unpopular with Mormons and Johnson doesn't flame out, Clinton could win with something like 35 to 40 percent of the vote. With any other Republican nominee, Utah would be Safe R.

Montana and South Dakota are less easy for Clinton to flip, but she could do it if her lead was something like 8-10%. I think if she wins one, she probably wins the other as well.
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