Bayh is back - could this help Clinton in Indiana?

[IceSpear]

Indiana isn't as safe as people in this thread think it is, but no, Bayh will not help Clinton.

That's exciting news though, as much as I dislike Bayh.

[TomC]

He has a war chest that can certainly help with turnout. There are definitely certain demographics that could help both campaigns if they come out in big numbers. So he could strategically help.

[Mike Thick]

Will he help her? Of course, as his campaign will be turning out Democrats in a way that they wouldn't in a less competitive Senate race.

Will it be enough to win the state? I doubt it.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Well, Bayh's 2004 Senate race and the 2004 Presidential race in Indiana were both about 60-40. Now, I may be leaving out a key detail.

[Virginiá]

I wonder how much Bayh will end up outspending Young by. Starting off with a 9-1 cash advantage while bringing in more money over the next 3 months is something else. Young has his work cut out for him.

[Famous Mortimer]

Bayh is not that popular, that's why he opted not to run for re-election last time. God knows why he is getting back in, after state Democrats voted for Bernie Sanders even though Hillary Clinton had basically already won.

[IceSpear]

Bayh is not that popular, that's why he opted not to run for re-election last time. God knows why he is getting back in, after state Democrats voted for Bernie Sanders even though Hillary Clinton had basically already won.

Probably because internals have him up double digits.

[publicunofficial]

Hmm, when do I remember hearing everyone screaming about Indiana being safe R before?

[TDAS04]

Indiana could easily be within single digits, but Clinton probably won't win there.

[DS0816]

If Hillary Clinton wins nationally by +10, Indiana will be one of her pickup states.

The order is North Carolina followed by Georgia/Arizona followed by Missouri/Indiana/Nebraska #02 followed by Montana and, with having reached 400 electoral votes, followed by South Carolina/Texas/Nebraska #01/more [Utah] for 450+.

The historical voting of national percentage-points shifting are more dramatic after a two-term president (than the re-election to a second consecutive term of an incumbent president). It is not unusual, given 2016 is an open seat, that the national shifting—from 2012 to 2016—could end up between 7 to 10 percentage points.