Is this from a real poll?
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  Is this from a real poll?
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Author Topic: Is this from a real poll?  (Read 1367 times)
The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« on: July 09, 2016, 08:03:19 PM »

A friend on Facebook shared this:



Been trying to look for the QU poll that has this result, but I can't find it.  Is this Photoshopped, or is Trump poised to get the lowest share of the black vote for a Republican in history?
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Figueira
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« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2016, 08:11:12 PM »

I guess he only has a great relationship with 1% of the blacks.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #2 on: July 09, 2016, 08:14:20 PM »

Wasn't there famously a poll in 2012 that had Romney at literally 0% among African American voters at one point?
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Wells
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« Reply #3 on: July 09, 2016, 08:14:40 PM »

If you look at the margin of error, Trump may actually be getting 3.4% of African-Americans. So it isn't as bad as you may think. (JK, it is. He could also be getting -1.4% of African-Americans, which is physically impossible, but then again, this is an unconventional election.)
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: July 09, 2016, 08:16:04 PM »

It's this poll, which has Trump at 1% of the black vote in the 2-way matchup with Clinton and 0% (4th place) in the 4-way matchup with Johnson and Stein included:

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: July 09, 2016, 09:08:21 PM »

It's this poll, which has Trump at 1% of the black vote in the 2-way matchup with Clinton and 0% (4th place) in the 4-way matchup with Johnson and Stein included:

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

I guess Diamond and Silk, Herman Cain, Allen West, Clarence Thomas, and Ben Carson weren't polled. Or were they?!
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #6 on: July 09, 2016, 10:51:22 PM »
« Edited: July 09, 2016, 11:15:50 PM by ProudModerate2 »

It's this poll, which has Trump at 1% of the black vote in the 2-way matchup with Clinton and 0% (4th place) in the 4-way matchup with Johnson and Stein included:

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Really !?
Wow, that is bad. (Bad for trump, good for Hillary.)

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Dabeav
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« Reply #7 on: July 09, 2016, 11:12:00 PM »

I don't get the black love for Hillary. I mean, even Hispanics are 28-33% Trump in that poll.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: July 09, 2016, 11:23:46 PM »

Should be noted that other polls have Trump doing not quite *that* badly among blacks.  E.g., the recent Pew poll has him at 7% in the 2-way matchup:


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hopper
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« Reply #9 on: July 10, 2016, 12:13:22 AM »
« Edited: July 10, 2016, 12:25:39 AM by hopper »

Should be noted that other polls have Trump doing not quite *that* badly among blacks.  E.g., the recent Pew poll has him at 7% in the 2-way matchup:



Trump is doing mildly better with Latino's than I thought he would be at polling at 24% support with them. I thought he would be polling at 15% with them.

Trump is getting killed with Women by 24% points though and with college grads(but not post grad) 54-38%.

Trump is doing closer to the lower medium end of the Black Vote that Republicans have done in the past:

McCain 5% of the Black Vote in 2008
Romney 6% in 2012
Reagan 8% in 1984
Bush W. 8% in 2000

The High End:

Reagan 14% in 1980
Bush H.W. 12-13% in 1988
Dole in 1996 with 13%(because of Kemp being VP candidate.)
Bush W. 12% in 2004
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President Johnson
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« Reply #10 on: July 10, 2016, 08:09:39 AM »

I highly doubt it. He'll be at least at seven or eight, though I believe he will break double digits (narrowly).
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #11 on: July 10, 2016, 01:03:32 PM »
« Edited: July 18, 2016, 04:54:06 PM by eeveergreen »

I don't get the black love for Hillary. I mean, even Hispanics are 28-33% T***p in that poll.

an atlas poster (and especially a libertarian) not understanding black people? shocking!
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Dabeav
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« Reply #12 on: July 10, 2016, 09:21:21 PM »

Didn't realize blacks were subject to such groupthink.  I wonder if Ben Carson was the R nominee what kind of percentages he would've received.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: July 10, 2016, 10:48:33 PM »

Didn't realize blacks were subject to such groupthink.  I wonder if Ben Carson was the R nominee what kind of percentages he would've received.

Is this your first election or something? Blacks routinely vote ~90% Democratic.

And no, Ben Carson would not have changed that.
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hopper
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« Reply #14 on: July 11, 2016, 12:42:51 AM »

Didn't realize blacks were subject to such groupthink.  I wonder if Ben Carson was the R nominee what kind of percentages he would've received.
Mostly Black People live or are right near major cities(think Baltimore City or the Atlanta Suburbs.) The Atlanta Burb's I think are full of Black Northeast Transplants who probably once lived in New York City area's which are Super Democrat. For example  I read once about Black Population Density and the Black Vote in Presidential Voting and it took a county with a population that was 81 or 84% Black(I forget which) to get to Obama's 2012 total of 93% of the Black Vote that he achieved. Counties with a 1-38 or 39% Black Population actually vote majority Republican.
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