Which of these states are actually fool's gold?
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  Which of these states are actually fool's gold?		 « previous next »
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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#6
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#8
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#9
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#11
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Author Topic: Which of these states are actually fool's gold?  (Read 1291 times)
For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law
xingkerui
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« on: July 09, 2016, 02:17:38 PM »
Which of this states are realistically (read: barring a massive landslide) out of reach for one of the candidates? Which are at least somewhat competitive?
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2016, 02:18:40 PM »
New Hampshire
Oregon
Minnesota
Missouri
Utah
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temmie b. <3
cxs018
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« Reply #2 on: July 09, 2016, 02:23:31 PM »
Georgia, Indiana, Maine, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, Oregon, Utah. The others would be at least somewhat competitive in an even election.
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dspNY
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« Reply #3 on: July 09, 2016, 02:29:07 PM »
Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, Oregon, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin for the GOP

Indiana, Missouri and Utah for the Dems

Dems have a legitimate shot at Arizona and Georgia
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For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: July 09, 2016, 02:32:14 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on July 09, 2016, 02:30:19 PM
So Republicans got crushed in NH in 2012 and EVEN IN 2014 and Atlas still considers the state to be a pure tossup or maybe even lean R?

I don't know of anyone who actually thinks NH is Lean R. I think the consensus is that Hillary is favored in NH, but that it's not completely safe for her. As most of us are aware, you disagree. Wink
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temmie b. <3
cxs018
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« Reply #5 on: July 09, 2016, 02:36:01 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on July 09, 2016, 02:30:19 PM
So Republicans got crushed in NH in 2012 and EVEN IN 2014 and Atlas still considers the state to be a pure tossup or maybe even lean R?

National margin in 2012: D+3.86
NH margin in 2012: D+5.58

Absolutely crushed. Absolutely.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #6 on: July 09, 2016, 02:45:21 PM »
all the obama states except new hampshire
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #7 on: July 09, 2016, 02:52:36 PM »
Indiana, Minnesota, Oregon, Nevada, and Wisconsin.
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For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law
xingkerui
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« Reply #8 on: July 09, 2016, 03:03:04 PM »
Interesting how North Carolina currently ties with Ohio as the state with the fewest votes. I would've thought more people would consider it out of reach for Clinton.

EDIT: Of course, as soon as I say North Carolina has no votes, someone votes for it. Figures.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #9 on: July 09, 2016, 03:16:55 PM »
Arizona       
Georgia       
Indiana   
Maine       
Michigan       
Minnesota
Oregon
Utah
Wisconsin
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #10 on: July 09, 2016, 04:37:16 PM »
Fool's gold for Democrats
Indiana
Missouri
Utah

Fool's gold for Republicans
Maine (at-large and first district)
Michigan
Nevada
Oregon
Wisconsin

Competitive
Georgia (Leans R)
Maine (second district; Likely D)
Minnesota (Likely D)
New Hampshire (Likely D)
Pennsylvania (Leans D)

Tossups
Arizona
Ohio
North Carolina
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BoJack Horseman
Wolverine22
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« Reply #11 on: July 09, 2016, 04:39:35 PM »
Oregon. Utah a close second.
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Mallow
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« Reply #12 on: July 09, 2016, 04:59:10 PM »
IN, MI, OR, UT, WI
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #13 on: July 09, 2016, 05:10:26 PM »
Quote from: evergreenarbor on July 09, 2016, 04:37:16 PM
Fool's gold for Democrats
Indiana
Missouri
Utah

Fool's gold for Republicans
Maine (at-large and first district)
Michigan
Nevada
Oregon
Wisconsin
Minnesota

Competitive
Georgia (Leans R)
Maine (second district; Likely D)
New Hampshire (Likely D)
Pennsylvania (Leans D)

Tossups
Arizona
Ohio
North Carolina

Agreed with this, but moved MN to fool's gold.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #14 on: July 09, 2016, 05:11:34 PM »
Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, Utah, Oregon, Maine.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #15 on: July 09, 2016, 07:19:24 PM »
Georgia, Indiana, Utah, Missouri, Maine, Minnesota, Oregon
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Figueira
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« Reply #16 on: July 09, 2016, 08:04:02 PM »
Whoops, didn't mean to vote Arizona or Georgia.

Michigan, Minnesota, Oregon, Maine.

Utah is a special case. It's not remotely competitive normally, but in this election I'm not really sure.
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CivicParticipant
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« Reply #17 on: July 09, 2016, 08:37:51 PM »
IN, GA, UT for the Dems. MN, ME, OR, & WI for the GOP
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CivicParticipant
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« Reply #18 on: July 09, 2016, 08:56:47 PM »
IN, GA, UT for the Dems. MN, ME, OR, & WI for the GOP
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #19 on: July 10, 2016, 11:46:53 AM »
Maine, Wisconsin, Oregon, and Nevada. I forgot to click Nevada, though.
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