FOX News Toss-up Map

[The Other Castro]

This is Fox's new projected map as of Thursday:



http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/07/07/fox-news-electoral-map-clinton-has-2016-edge-but-many-toss-ups-in-play.html

[Sir Mohamed]

Well, NV is definitely leaning Clinton.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

inb4 tnvolunteer

[Protect Trans Hoosiers]

This is consistent with polls and historical patters.  Freedom map.

[PeteB]

The numbers mislead.  The mere fact that AZ, GA and MO are not dark red tells the whole story.

[Gass3268]

Polling averages in Michigan and Wisconsin are almost exactly the same as Minnesota. I'd either move Minnesota to Lean Clinton or Michigan/Wisconsin to Safe Clinton. Debatable, based purely on polling averages, whether or not Pennsylvania and Virginia should be moved to Lean Clinton. Sort of wish the networks wouldn't have a toss up category, but instead a tilt (one way or the other) category.

Overall not bad.

[VPH]

I still don't think Trump has a shot at either Iowa, Nevada, or Colorado. None of the three are particularly suitable for his brand of populism.

[Likely Voter]

This seems to be the exact same map as NBC with the exception of NBC having FL as lean D and UT as lean R.  NBC also has the one CD NE and ME as tossups.

I still think both are over-estimating Trump in NV due to polls there being generally terrible.

[Protect Trans Hoosiers]

I still don't think Trump has a shot at either Iowa, Nevada, or Colorado. None of the three are particularly suitable for his brand of populism.

Iowa is shockingly white.

Colorado I don't get.  Polls keep showing a tight race, even though everything I know about the state tells me it's very bad territory for Trump.

[RaphaelDLG]

If they aren't using leaners and are just using battlegrounds, likelies, and safes, sure, it's a very good map.

Of course, it obscures the fact that Clinton currently has a strong advantage across all of the battleground states, and if this map used leaners, it would be a lot bluer.

[For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law]

The only one I strongly disagree with is NV. Otherwise it's not a bad map.

[Nyvin]

WI should probably be the same as Minnesota, and NV should at least be lean Dem.

[beaver2.0]

Fox News proves that it is still trash.

[Red Willow]

Why is VA not light blue?

[Seriously?]

The numbers mislead.  The mere fact that AZ, GA and MO are not dark red tells the whole story.

So what. WI and MI are similarly light blue on this map. On balance, it's pretty much accurate based on the current state of the polling. With tossup at between 0-5% and lean between 5-10%.

[DrScholl]

Fox News is carrying water for Trump, how surprising (not). This race is not a toss-up.

[HillOfANight]

Seems a pretty reasonable and conservative map. Clinton's strength in polls isn't that strong.

[evergreenarbor]

The only one I strongly disagree with is NV. Otherwise it's not a bad map.

[President Johnson]

The only one I strongly disagree with is NV. Otherwise it's not a bad map.

Agreed.

[136or142]

The thread title is incorrect.  It should say FOX "News".

[HisGrace]

Nevada should be lead Clinton, Arizona should be toss-up, and I could understand Utah being just a lean, even though, yeah, it's Utah and it's hard to picture any Dem carrying it.

[PaperKooper]

Pretty ordinary. 

[Interlocutor]

Also, ME-02 isn't Safe D if NH is a pure Tossup. Try harder, FOX.

Yeah, this map is a travesty. They don't even show you that Maine and Nebraska can split electoral votes. For shame Fox.

Other than that injustice of power, move Nevada to the Dems and it's the exact same prediction map I got

[OneJ]

Why is Mississippi that shade of red? This map isn't bad, but the fact that Georgia is colored lean GOP and not a few states like Texas seems a little weird.

[IceSpear]

Oddly reasonable map coming from FOX.