Can Trump win Nevada?
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Author Topic: Can Trump win Nevada?  (Read 1003 times)
CivicParticipant
Spark498
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« on: July 05, 2016, 01:27:29 PM »
I know there are a lot of Hispanics there. But since Trump does well in Reno and rural areas and his connections to the casinos in Las Vegas can help him to possibly flip the state. The margin can offset Clark county.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1 on: July 05, 2016, 01:30:43 PM »
In a close election, probably not. Democrats are building a registration edge that would be near impossible to overcome.
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Redban
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« Reply #2 on: July 05, 2016, 01:39:16 PM »
Quote from: Spark498 (Fed-PA) on July 05, 2016, 01:27:29 PM
I know there are a lot of Hispanics there. But since Trump does well in Reno and rural areas and his connections to the casinos in Las Vegas can help him to possibly flip the state. The margin can offset Clark county.

He has connections to casinos in Las Vegas, but is there any reasonable evidence showing that those connections will give him votes?

Anyways -- can he win, you ask? It's a tough question to answer, obviously, because we have a long way to go before November; and Nevada is notoriously difficult to poll (when was the last poll here?).

Nevada isn't impossible, based on Romney's performance in 2012. Trump might need a good 2-3% victory nationwide to pull it off.
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Ljube
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« Reply #3 on: July 05, 2016, 01:44:14 PM »
Yes, he can.

A lot of people here will be surprised.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: July 05, 2016, 02:00:04 PM »
Of course not.
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Hydera
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« Reply #5 on: July 05, 2016, 02:08:06 PM »
Only 64% of Nevada voters in 2012 were White.

Trumpeters BTFO.
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For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law
xingkerui
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« Reply #6 on: July 05, 2016, 02:12:51 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on July 05, 2016, 01:28:02 PM
Can he? Yes.
Will he? Probably not, unless he has already won the election.

(Oh, and inb4 xingkerui)

Oh, come on, I'm not THAT bad about NV. Tongue

Anyway, no, Trump's not winning NV. Connections to casinos won't win him actual votes. In addition to his Latino problem, NV also has a sizable Mormon population, which could hurt him even more.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #7 on: July 05, 2016, 02:13:51 PM »
More than likely NO.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #8 on: July 05, 2016, 02:43:12 PM »
Lean/Likely D.

He could, but held have to win nationally pretty substantially.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #9 on: July 05, 2016, 02:48:45 PM »
Not likely.
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Joe Kakistocracy
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« Reply #10 on: July 05, 2016, 02:52:55 PM »
What are these "connections to Las Vegas casinos" you guys keep talking about?  And why would they matter?
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #11 on: July 05, 2016, 02:56:40 PM »
Quote from: Joe Republic on July 05, 2016, 02:52:55 PM
What are these "connections to Las Vegas casinos" you guys keep talking about?  And why would they matter?

It's going to matter as much as the "New York Values".
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #12 on: July 05, 2016, 03:08:30 PM »
Quote from: ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) on July 05, 2016, 02:08:06 PM
Only 64% of Nevada voters in 2012 were White.

Trumpeters BTFO.


And I just returned from Las Vegas--with the enormous diverse mix that I saw, that 64% of 2012 is a distant memory for the Repubs...
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #13 on: July 05, 2016, 03:20:52 PM »
No. N-O. Nevada and Virginia are the two most-rapidly Democratic-trending* states in the nation. Neither one of them are looking back.
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Drop Billionaires, Not Bombs
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« Reply #14 on: July 05, 2016, 03:27:16 PM »
If Trump's Vegas casinos are anything like the one in Atlantic City, that should drive voters away.
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Joe Kakistocracy
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« Reply #15 on: July 05, 2016, 03:34:21 PM »
Quote from: a.scott on July 05, 2016, 03:27:16 PM
If Trump's Vegas casinos are anything like the one in Atlantic City, that should drive voters away.

Trump doesn't have any Vegas casinos.

Again, I'm really confused about these "connections" Trump has to Vegas casinos. Huh
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #16 on: July 05, 2016, 03:36:25 PM »
Yes, he can. He can win the suburban Republicans in the Clark County area. He has to run up the score with the Steve Wynn crowd (businessmen/businesswomen).
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #17 on: July 05, 2016, 04:06:14 PM »
Trump can't win Nevada unless Hillary's campaign collapses somehow.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: July 05, 2016, 04:25:59 PM »
No
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #19 on: July 11, 2016, 02:33:36 PM »
« Edited: July 11, 2016, 03:35:56 PM by ProudModerate2 »
NEW POLL RELEASED TODAY.
Monmouth University Poll.

45% currently support Clinton and 41% back Trump.
Another 5% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson.
Link: http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NV_071116/
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Wells
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« Reply #20 on: July 11, 2016, 02:48:11 PM »
No.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #21 on: July 11, 2016, 02:50:39 PM »
Of course he can. Is it likely? No. I would give him a 30% chance.
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