Rasmussen National Poll: Trump +4 ?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 10:09:18 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Rasmussen National Poll: Trump +4 ?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: Rasmussen National Poll: Trump +4 ?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?  (Read 2574 times)
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,592
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: June 30, 2016, 01:41:57 PM »

Get going Big Don! He had some bad weeks and some polls show him either leading or neck-in-neck in purple states. What if he has some good weeks? Watch out, Hilldog.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: June 30, 2016, 02:47:45 PM »

Rasmussen actually used to be a legit poster, but then he realized he could make more money by telling Bill O'Reilly and Sean Hannity's audience what they wanted to hear.
Rasmussen doesn't own Rasmussen anymore. So he's not polling a thing. Whomever took over.. whatever...
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: June 30, 2016, 03:21:47 PM »

ayy
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: July 03, 2016, 11:03:16 AM »

Nine point swing from their last poll that had Clinton up by 5 points, with no explanation whatsoever.
Logged
Mallow
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 737
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: July 03, 2016, 12:00:13 PM »

Not every poll you disagree with is incorrect. Sorry.

Not every poll whose outcome you like is correct. Sorry.
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: July 03, 2016, 12:24:22 PM »

Not every poll you disagree with is incorrect. Sorry.
How do you explain a nine point swing in Trump's favor when other polls don't show the same situation happening and nothing of note could have caused it?
Logged
Fuzzy Stands With His Friend, Chairman Sanchez
Fuzzy Bear
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,504
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: July 03, 2016, 02:27:51 PM »

Rasmussen actually used to be a legit poster, but then he realized he could make more money by telling Bill O'Reilly and Sean Hannity's audience what they wanted to hear.

This may be true.  Rasmussen was pretty reliable in 2008.  Less so in 2012.  Still, Rasmussen's shows Obama at 50% approval (48% disapproval), so that seems about right.
Logged
Joe Republic
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,044
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: July 03, 2016, 02:44:40 PM »

This is just among GOP voters, right?
Logged
Reginald
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 802
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: July 03, 2016, 05:12:42 PM »

Nine point swing from their last poll that had Clinton up by 5 points, with no explanation whatsoever.

Yes, their last poll... from a week before this. Thankfully Rassy can capture this tumultuous political climate!
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: July 04, 2016, 06:33:10 AM »

Not every poll you disagree with is incorrect. Sorry.

Not every poll whose outcome you like is correct. Sorry.

Agreed, but compare that to outliers like Reuters that are +10 for Clinton that aren't being heavily disputed or accused by Atlas Dems of partisan bias.
Reuters/Ipsos hasn't called the election wrong in the past.
Logged
Mallow
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 737
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: July 04, 2016, 10:33:49 AM »

Not every poll you disagree with is incorrect. Sorry.

Not every poll whose outcome you like is correct. Sorry.

Agreed, but compare that to outliers like Reuters that are +10 for Clinton that aren't being heavily disputed or accused by Atlas Dems of partisan bias.

You said "Not every poll you disagree with is incorrect." You were implying that this poll might be correct. This poll isn't correct.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: July 04, 2016, 11:58:21 AM »

Not every poll you disagree with is incorrect. Sorry.

Not every poll whose outcome you like is correct. Sorry.

Agreed, but compare that to outliers like Reuters that are +10 for Clinton that aren't being heavily disputed or accused by Atlas Dems of partisan bias.

Reuters is gutter trash and is generally disputed by everyone.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: July 04, 2016, 12:46:19 PM »

Nine point swing from their last poll that had Clinton up by 5 points, with no explanation whatsoever.
Polling is not a perfect science. Every pollster is going to get an outlier every once in a while. Since one of these things is not like the other with the Rassy poll vs. the rest of the polls out there, it has to be looked at that way.

Just like the Washington Post/ABC News poll does on the Hillary! side. The good news is that we have plenty of data points to look at where we can quickly figure out where the outliers are.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: July 05, 2016, 01:30:49 PM »

I guess that trip to Scotland was a YUUUUUUUUUGE hit with the voters.

I want a crosstab of support for Trump vs. ability to define "Brexit."
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: July 05, 2016, 02:15:54 PM »

Nine point swing from their last poll that had Clinton up by 5 points, with no explanation whatsoever.
Polling is not a perfect science. Every pollster is going to get an outlier every once in a while. Since one of these things is not like the other with the Rassy poll vs. the rest of the polls out there, it has to be looked at that way.

Just like the Washington Post/ABC News poll does on the Hillary! side. The good news is that we have plenty of data points to look at where we can quickly figure out where the outliers are.
Right, but usually pollsters are consistent, even if they're wrong. That's a lot of precision, but low accuracy.

This has neither, it appears.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: July 07, 2016, 02:13:47 AM »

Well, if their horserace questions are anything like this, we know exactly how they're getting their results:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I don't think even GOP internals would be this shameless.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,580
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: July 07, 2016, 02:29:40 AM »

All components of the Blaxicasians are for Hillary, not just the "blax" part of it.
Logged
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: July 07, 2016, 03:37:38 PM »

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/751152046599012352

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

lol
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.046 seconds with 13 queries.