Could the 3rd parties find success in the 2016 UK election? (user search)
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  Could the 3rd parties find success in the 2016 UK election? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Could the 3rd parties find success in the 2016 UK election?  (Read 2427 times)
parochial boy
parochial_boy
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,114


Political Matrix
E: -8.38, S: -6.78

« on: June 28, 2016, 04:11:49 PM »

No,

- SNP can't win a bigger landlide.
- LibDem heartlands actually have solid LEAVE majorities (South West, urban Yorshire and Midlands)
- Greens are sill reliant on Caroline Lucas
- UKIP lost 3 points in the polls and are being blamed for the current dysphoria in British society
-Probable low turnout (especially by the Remainers

Unless Labour or Tories split, nothing will change. Boris-led Tories will run on a right-wing populist platform all but ending UKIP. Labour will probably recover well enouugh to get a hung parliament from the Tories.

The only possible end to bipartisan politics in the UK is the end of FPTP. See : USA.

Going forward, I suspect Lib Dems will be targeting Tory remain areas as ripe for the picking.

Somewhere like Richmond Park, which has a Eurosceptic Conservative MP who just destroyed his on reputation running a nudge-nudge-wink-wink racist campaign for mayor of London must be a real low hnging fruit for the Lib Dems. As would somewhere like Eastbourne, which barely voted Tory last year and just went remain in the referendum.

UKIP could gain a stack from Labour depending on the next few days, and pick up quite a few of the Kent/Essex three way marginals.
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