Overcomb (Mini-Election Night '16 TL)
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Author Topic: Overcomb (Mini-Election Night '16 TL)  (Read 1843 times)
NHI
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 31, 2016, 09:16:52 PM »

Clinton/Perez
-
Trump/Christie
-
Romney/Sasse

"You ain't seen nothing yet." -- President Ronald Reagan, Election Night 1984.
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: May 31, 2016, 09:36:39 PM »

Past is Prologue


ABC/WASH POST POLL: May 2016

Trump Takes to Twitter



QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL: May 2016

Romney: Trump & Clinton "Must Be Defeated"

Clinton: It's time to Get Serious

Trump: We Will Make Our Country Great Again!
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #2 on: May 31, 2016, 10:07:23 PM »

Great job! Cheesy Can't wait for this to continue.
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
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« Reply #3 on: May 31, 2016, 10:21:26 PM »

Neat!
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #4 on: May 31, 2016, 10:24:06 PM »

Looking good, NHI, as usual!
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #5 on: May 31, 2016, 11:43:43 PM »

Your timelines are my favorites! Keep it up Smiley
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #6 on: June 01, 2016, 05:54:01 AM »

Not sure why Trump and Romney would combine for 59%, but looks good so far!
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: June 01, 2016, 10:46:26 AM »

Ext: Manchester, NH -- Night

November 7, 2016.

Donald Trump rallied thousands in the Verizon Arena on Elm Street in Manchester. The weather, which had been rainy most of the day, drizzled off into a cool fall night. Thousands lined the street, watching the event from jumbo-trons placed outside the arena, all listening as the Republican nominee blasted the media, railed against "Crooked Hillary" and proclaimed proudly and boldly, "we will make America great again!"

It had been a long campaign. Nearly sixteen months. From the elevator descent in June of 2015, to winning the First in The Nation Primary, to taking on both Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney in the one and only televised Presidential Debate. Trump was tired, more than tired he was exhausted. He spent the last three days crisscrossing the country, making stops in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Iowa. The Rustbelt, his hope of breaking the Democrat's strengths in the Northeast and Mitt Romney's spoiler effect in the west. Dragging on his plan, dubbed "Trump One" The Republican Nominee basked in the glow of thousands of supporters cheering his name.

The final stop. The last rally. The state which had turned his campaign around, New Hampshire, a place where the people responded to his message and -- loved him, this would be the end. No more campaigning. No more rallies. No more speeches. Now, the decision remained in the hands of millions of Americans, many whom he never saw or talked to; they would be deciding his fate. A political shooting star, confined to the footnotes of history, or the 45th President of the United States.

"Anything short of victory," he told his small band of closest advisers. "Will be a waste of my time."



Int: Clinton Campaign Plan, Somewhere over Florida

The polls showed a close race. Even with the presence of Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican Nominee, running as an Independent candidate, Clinton and Trump were nearly even in most national polls and state polls were not looking much better. Hillary Clinton remained silent, over the flight back to New York. Eyes glassy, lights tightened, the former Secretary of State was delivered the news on the final poll in the battleground state of Florida, and she was not happy.

Trump: 43%
Clinton: 41%
Romney: 13%

So much for a decisive blowout, Clinton thought to herself. Romney, the man she hoped would help seal her Presidential fate, failed to nip at Donald Trump in any substantial way. The south looked poised to go for Trump, even her former home state of Arkansas leaned heavily for the New York businessman, (49% for Trump and 37% for Clinton). How did this happen? How did a winnable election become such a nail bitter. This was not how she wanted to celebrate Election Eve. She wanted to be rested. She wanted to be ready, but now she would be struggling, clawing her way to the White House.

But, would she have it any other way? The Clintons earned their victories by crawling across the battlefield, ducking under barbed wire, tunneling through the trenches, scared, but nevertheless ever ready to take whatever was coming.

We'll beat him, she told herself. I can win this. I must.


Int: Romney Home, Utah -- Night

Ann is over the moon, Romney told his closest aides. The 2012 nominee received more confidence boosts on the eve before the big election. Utah, solidly for Mitt Romney, Wyoming, solidly for Mitt Romney and Idaho, leaning his way. "We may not win this thing, barring some miraculous upset, but I do think we can send this thing to the House!" Romney's path to victory was narrower than Donald Trump's one. He put a few states in play, but served as a potential spoiler in others. A threat to Trump, but not a detrimental one.

Romney's hopes of becoming the nation's 45th President, a position he dreamed about and worked on for nearly fifteen years was reachable, but only through the House of Representatives. "One or two states and we lock Trump out," Stuart Stevens told the Presidential candidate. A gamble, but one worth taking. If Mitt Romney wanted to become President, then he needed to have a strong enough showing and ensure an electoral deadlock.

The final CNN poll released hours before the polls showed Romney running third, nationally with 13 percent of the vote.


CNN/ORC POLL: November 7, 2016
Hillary Clinton: 41%
Donald Trump: 40%
Mitt Romney: 13%
Gary Johnson: 2%
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NHI
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« Reply #8 on: June 05, 2016, 11:40:30 AM »

Election Night: November 8, 2016

First Projection: South Carolina with 1% Reported


Analysis: Donald Trump with an early win. Too early to know by how big a margin, but the fact South Carolina could be called right at closing is indicative how well he might do in the south tonight.
Donald Trump: 9
Hillary Clinton: 0
Mitt Romney: 0

States Too Early to Call
Vermont
Indiana
Georgia
Kentucky

States Too Close to Call
Virginia

Analysis: Vermont is being labeled too early to call, but with Clinton in the lead. In Georgia and Indiana we have no information available to make a projection. In Kentucky, with less than one percent reporting it's Trump with an early lead. As for the state of Virginia we are calling it too close to call. Clinton is being described as narrowly ahead.

Raw Votes:

Kentucky: <1% Counted
Donald Trump: 56%
Hillary Clinton: 41%
Mitt Romney: 2%

Virginia: <1% Counted
Hillary Clinton: 49%
Donald Trump: 39%
Mitt Romney: 10%

Vermont: <1% Counted
Hillary Clinton: 54%
Donald Trump: 36%
Mitt Romney: 4%
Jill Stein: 4%

Indiana: <1% Counted
Donald Trump: 51%
Hillary Clinton: 40%
Mitt Romney: 7%

Georgia: <1% Counted
Donald Trump: 52%
Hillary Clinton: 43%
Mitt Romney: 4%

Projection: Vermont for Clinton

Donald Trump: 9
Hillary Clinton: 3
Mitt Romney: 0

Analysis: An expected win for Hillary Clinton, but a strong showing by Jill Stein put the state momentarily in question. Bernie Sanders, the state's Senator and Clinton's one time rival has campaigned for the Democratic ticket, though many have questioned if he has given the same amount of effort as Clinton did, after she lost to then Senator Barack Obama in 2008.

Popular Vote: <1%
Donald Trump: 48.2%
Hillary Clinton: 44.8%
Mitt Romney: 5.0%
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« Reply #9 on: June 05, 2016, 02:44:27 PM »

Had to set an email notification for this thread. NHI timelines always keep me on the edge of my seat.
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: June 05, 2016, 09:23:31 PM »

Had to set an email notification for this thread. NHI timelines always keep me on the edge of my seat.
Thanks!
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: June 05, 2016, 10:07:22 PM »
« Edited: June 05, 2016, 10:09:08 PM by NHI »

Election Night: November 8, 2016

Projections: Vermont Senate Race, Georgia Senate Race, South Carolina Senate Race. Kentucky Too Early to Call.

Analysis: Incumbents are being reelected in Vermont, Georgia and South Carolina. Senator Rand Paul is in the lead in Kentucky with 5 percent reported. Paul: 53% Gray: 47%.

Projection: Kentucky for Trump

Analysis: Donald Trump wins Kentucky, capturing 57 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton hoped to do well in the state, but Trump's attacks on Clinton's comment on coal industry seemed to have paid off. A survey of those who identified as coal miners voted 87 percent for Trump, versus 11 percent for Clinton.

Donald Trump: 17 (47.5%)
Hillary Clinton: 3 (45.4%)
Mitt Romney: 0 (4.9%)

Analysis: States to watch are Virginia and Indiana. The South has been practically ceded to Donald Trump, but if Mitt Romney is to have any pull in this election and draw votes from Trump in those two states.

Currently: Clinton is ahead in Virginia Clinton: 47% Trump: 42% Romney: 9%

Currently: Trump is ahead in Georgia Trump: 52% Clinton: 44% Romney: 4%

Currently: Trump leads in Indiana Trump: 52% Clinton: 41% Romney: 6%


Projection: Trump Wins West Virginia



Analysis: No surprise. Donald Trump projected to sweep West Virginia. Less than one percent reporting, but Trump has 65 percent of the vote. Clinton has 33 percent. He did well here during the primaries, Clinton of course was soundly defeated by Senator Sanders in the primary and her comments on the coal industry have no doubt comeback to haunt her again tonight.

Donald Trump: 22 (47.9%)
Hillary Clinton: 3 (45.2%)
Mitt Romney: 0 (4.7%)

States too Early to Call: North Carolina, Trump Leading

States too Close to Call: Ohio, Clinton Leading.


Ohio: <1% Reported
Hillary Clinton: 47%
Donald Trump: 43%
Mitt Romney: 10%

North Carolina: <1% Reported
Donald Trump: 51%
Hillary Clinton: 43%
Mitt Romney: 5%

Projection: Trump Wins Indiana


Analysis: Donald Trump projected to win Indiana with 52 percent of the vote. Another Republican strong hold he has been able to hold onto, despite the presence of Romney. A good sign as he heads into other Republican states later tonight. So-far Trump is even outperforming Romney MOV four years ago. He defeated Pres. Obama 53.04% to 43.84%.

Donald Trump: 33 (48.0%)
Hillary Clinton: 3 (45.3%)
Mitt Romney: 0 (4.5%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: July 01, 2016, 09:05:59 PM »

... The last time I use something other than google docs. The final three installments of this TL were lost, but I did not want to leave it open-ended. While the narrative is lost, below is what the final electoral map would have been and thus the election of the 45th President of the United States.


Hillary Clinton/Tom Perez: 294 (45.10%)
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 234 (41.00%)
Mitt Romney/Ben Sasse: 10 (12.59%)
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