ABC-Washngton Post: Clinton up by 12 (user search)
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  ABC-Washngton Post: Clinton up by 12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ABC-Washngton Post: Clinton up by 12  (Read 3451 times)
Seriously?
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« on: June 26, 2016, 11:02:39 AM »
« edited: June 26, 2016, 11:12:33 AM by Seriously? »

FWIW,

PublicPolicyPolling @ppppolls
Based on everything we're doing publicly and privately believe NBC/WSJ a lot more than ABC/WP
9:21 AM - 26 Jun 2016

Yepp. There's no credible explanation why Hillary would be up by 12 when she's so unpopular ...

You're wasting your breath with these red avatars. They don't realize that Republicans and some of the progressive left hate Hillary! as much, if not more than Democrats dislike Trump.

With that said, this poll is the outlier of the bunch. Most other reputable pollsters have it about a 5-6 point race right now.

Additionally, we're talking RV and not LV at this point, this A+ rating that is claimed is more for the final poll not some poll in June.
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Seriously?
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Posts: 3,029
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« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2016, 09:07:47 PM »

Sorry guys, but this isn't some Dem hack pollster. Remember they showed Trump up 2 in May, which many people used as ammunition for their "HILLARY IS DOOMED!" prophecies.
Yeah, because all the other pollsters are pushing polls with a D+10 electorate and self-identified Republicans at 27%, which hasn't happened in any cycle from 2004-2012.

This just happens to be the outlier of the bunch. It happens.

And I don't want to hear but but but the Reuter's Interwebs polls, which to me aren't really good for anything other than tracking movement.
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Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2016, 09:20:00 PM »

Sorry guys, but this isn't some Dem hack pollster. Remember they showed Trump up 2 in May, which many people used as ammunition for their "HILLARY IS DOOMED!" prophecies.
Yeah, because all the other pollsters are pushing polls with a D+10 electorate and self-identified Republicans at 27%, which hasn't happened in any cycle from 2004-2012.

This just happens to be the outlier of the bunch. It happens.

And I don't want to hear but but but the Reuter's Interwebs polls, which to me aren't really good for anything other than tracking movement.

Bloomberg has also had results around this number. So that's 3 polls. Just put them all in an average, which is currently at 6%. That seems about right.
Seltzer is the gold standard for Iowa, but still has a bit of work to do nationally with these Bloomberg polls. She never seems to have it tweaked right. On the other side, you have a +2 and +4 today, so my guess is the 5-7 point narrative is truer than not.
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