FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: GOP in good shape
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  FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: GOP in good shape
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Author Topic: FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: GOP in good shape  (Read 2334 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: June 22, 2016, 05:06:01 AM »
« edited: June 22, 2016, 05:08:10 AM by TN volunteer »

Florida

Marco Rubio (R, inc.): 47%
Patrick Murphy (D): 40%

Marco Rubio (R, inc.): 48%
Alan Grayson (D): 40%

Murphy and Grayson are ahead of several largely unknown Republican contenders.

Pennsylvania

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 49%
Katie McGinty (D): 40%

Ohio

Rob Portman (R, inc.): 42%
Ted Strickland (D): 42%

https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2360
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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: June 22, 2016, 05:19:57 AM »

Isn't this the same poll that had Trump down by 8 in FL?
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windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: June 22, 2016, 05:40:16 AM »

Lol Quinnipiac, as always pro republican.
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swf541
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« Reply #3 on: June 22, 2016, 07:51:04 AM »

Q is trash this cycle
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windjammer
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« Reply #4 on: June 22, 2016, 08:23:36 AM »

B-b-but muh inevitable handsome titan Murphy!!11! Sad

The FL and OH polls aren't pro Republican. And even if the PA poll was a bit skewed toward Democrats, Toomey would still be up 4 or 5. If the GOP can hold the trifecta (FL/OH/PA), Democrats will have a hard time retaking the Senate. It's a very good sign that Rubio and Toomey are outperforming Trump by such a wide margin.
Rubio isn't going to overperform Donald Trump by 14 points.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: June 22, 2016, 09:20:25 AM »

This is why I have PA as Likely R. McGinty is simply unelectable barring a 2008-style wave.
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Devils30
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« Reply #6 on: June 22, 2016, 10:00:24 AM »

This pollster just wanted to give Rubio an excuse to run. His approvals are 13% higher here than PPP while the other GOP run in line with other polls. Rubio is going to have to explain why he's supporting Trump and why he doesnt go his job.
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: June 22, 2016, 10:01:33 AM »

Quinnipiac has often found more favorable results for Toomey in Pennsylvania. I'll certainly buy that he's ahead right now, but we'll see if that's still the case after he's had to either embrace or distant himself from Trump. Not surprised to see Rubio winning right now. We'll see if he actually wins the primary, or if his programming holds up through the election without any hiccups. Not sure why Republicans would be happy about the Ohio numbers, though. I'd expect Portman to be doing significantly better than Trump.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #8 on: June 22, 2016, 11:41:13 AM »

Rubio and Toomey are in good shape for reelection at the moment. PPP had Portman up 4 in their poll, that race is competitive but I'd rate it Lean R for now.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: June 22, 2016, 02:36:44 PM »

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publicunofficial
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« Reply #10 on: June 22, 2016, 05:59:22 PM »

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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: June 22, 2016, 07:06:53 PM »


We don't really know that til elections actually happen
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Xing
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« Reply #12 on: June 22, 2016, 07:56:03 PM »


That's true, but throwing out polls where people don't like the results while embracing polls where they do is the most common tradition on Atlas.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #13 on: June 22, 2016, 08:00:19 PM »


Either they're trash or everyone else is.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: June 24, 2016, 09:03:26 PM »

Nice name recognition, Marco!

PA is disappointing though. Didn't their last poll have McGinty close?
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #15 on: June 24, 2016, 10:59:54 PM »

McGinty is the embodiment of the elite, establishment politician. Awful nominee
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: June 25, 2016, 12:52:27 AM »

Nice name recognition, Marco!

PA is disappointing though. Didn't their last poll have McGinty close?

Yeah. Classic Primary Bounce - the news announces the nominee and people default to party lines by habit for a bit. Once people who voted for Sestak or Fetterman actually took the time to look up who McGinty was, they realized how much of a joke she is and how she only won the primary because the DSCC/Obama acted like it was a highly competitive and incredibly important general election because of hilarious old grudges. This race is Likely R. Arizona and North Carolina fall before it does.
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