A lot of apathy/anger with the candidates in Wisconsin, as it was a Sanders/Cruz state. Its almost unprecedented for both parties to have more than a quarter dissaproval of your own nominee in a state. The Milwaukee area Republicans still hate Trump, I bet a lot of that 'won't vote/other' is coming from there for Republicans. I'm guessing Waukesha County turns out something like this...
Trump: 58%
Clinton: 37%
Johnson/Other: 5%
Madison (Dane) something like this:
Clinton: 68%
Trump: 27%
Johnson/Other: 5%
Among registered voters (and it's too early to look at likely voters imo) it's:
Clinton 42%
Trump 35%
And not that it matters now but:
Sanders 56%
Trump 31%
I wonder if Cruz or Rubio would be leading Clinton here... I bet Kasich would be at least.
Rubio would be I think as well, seems like he would be a perfect fit for the WOW counties.
Yeah, I would speculate that if Wisconsin was held on March 1st I think Rubio would've won the primary.
I think you're underestimating Clinton a bit in Dane County. No way Trump does as well as Romney. He'll have a hard time breaking 25%. Clinton will get 70, min. Waukesha looks right. I would imagine that Trump will win, but not by the margins he needs, the WOW region. I think he loses the Fox valley by 10.
