ABC-Washngton Post: TRUMP's favorables tank hard
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  ABC-Washngton Post: TRUMP's favorables tank hard
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Author Topic: ABC-Washngton Post: TRUMP's favorables tank hard  (Read 2461 times)
Ljube
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: June 15, 2016, 03:34:05 PM »

Good to see that the American people at large are rejecting the racist rapist. However, Trump has higher favorability than Clinton among white voters.

Of course. If Hillary even came close with whites it would be the biggest landslide since 1984.

There is no way she can come close with whites, because her policies are anti-white.

They are anti-all in fact. It's just that the whites get it and the others don't get it, yet.


Aww, the poor minorities are too ignorant to "get it." Yea, okay. Keep it up.

Yet. She has targeted her message to attract the minorities. That doesn't mean they won't get it, soon enough.
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fldemfunds
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« Reply #26 on: June 15, 2016, 03:56:41 PM »


Yet. She has targeted her message to attract the minorities. That doesn't mean they won't get it, soon enough.

I can see why people think you're a caricature on these boards.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #27 on: June 15, 2016, 05:05:35 PM »

Quote
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LOLOLOLOL
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #28 on: June 15, 2016, 07:04:22 PM »

47-52 among self described conservatives? Ouch.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #29 on: June 15, 2016, 07:08:04 PM »

Before I even touch the white sliders - that's 347-191. Wow.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #30 on: June 15, 2016, 07:09:41 PM »

Even white men have bad opinion of Trump. God DAMN.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #31 on: June 15, 2016, 07:10:30 PM »

That's a 50 state wipeout if everyone with a bad opinion of trump voted against him. 69.1-29.2
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #32 on: June 15, 2016, 07:12:56 PM »

Splitting the difference between whites - gives us UT, ID, WV, WY and OK. That is all.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #33 on: June 16, 2016, 08:19:20 AM »

Looking at favorables only, he's winning 4 demographics, Republicans, White Men and Conservatives. He's winning men by about a point.

He is losing white women and non college grads (by 10), those over 50 (by 10).

Looks to be a 57-43 election. So +7 for Hillary.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #34 on: June 16, 2016, 08:38:24 AM »

if you take the average between each candidate's favorability and their opponents unfavourability as their vote share and plug that into the 538 demographics calculator, you get a 395e.v. landslide, flipping nc, in, mo, ga and az
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #35 on: June 16, 2016, 10:04:48 AM »

Good to see that the American people at large are rejecting the racist rapist. However, Trump has higher favorability than Clinton among white voters.

Of course. If Hillary even came close with whites it would be the biggest landslide since 1984.

There is no way she can come close with whites, because her policies are anti-white.

They are anti-all in fact. It's just that the whites get it and the others don't get it, yet.


Denial is the first stage of grief. Get help.

Thank you, Republican primary voters! You all are the best players on our team!
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Wells
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« Reply #36 on: June 16, 2016, 05:27:26 PM »

I translated the average between the differences between favorability and unfavorability into a lead (For example, with women Clinton has +28 favorability and -30 unfavorability with women compared to Trump, so she has a 29 percent lead with them. This makes it 64-35 instead of the crushing 77-23.) and got this:



Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine  433 EV's  57.0%
Donald Trump/Newt Gingrich  105 EV's  42.0%

State D/R
AL 43.8/55.6
AK 47.9/49.9
AZ 52.1/47.0
AR 43.0/55.7
CA 66.7/32.0
CO 58.2/40.6
CT 63.4/36.0
DE 63.2/36.0
DC 89.3/9.7
FL 55.9/43.4
GA 50.5/48.9
HI 78.1/21.1
ID 39.9/58.7
IL 63.6/35.6
IN 51.0/48.0
IA 57.6/41.4
KS 45.7/53.6
KY 44.3/54.7
LA 44.8/54.4
ME 62.2/36.3
MD 66.2/32.8
MA 65.3/33.7
MI 58.4/41.0
MN 57.2/40.6
MS 47.8/51.8
MO 49.6/49.4
MT 47.8/50.7
NE 44.6/54.3
NV 60.3/38.6
NH 57.4/41.8
NJ 62.6/36.8
NM 61.8/35.9
NY 68.5/30.8
NC 52.9/46.3
ND 46.4/52.1
OH 55.5/43.6
OK 41.6/58.3
OR 60.8/37.3
PA 57.3/41.4
RI 67.5/31.5
SC 47.7/51.5
SD 47.3/51.5
TN 45.5/53.8
TX 50.8/48.5
UT 36.4/62.3
VT 70.0/28.3
VA 56.1/43.0
WA 63.0/35.6
WV 41.4/57.5
WI 57.5/41.8
WY 35.5/62.7
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #37 on: June 16, 2016, 05:47:00 PM »
« Edited: June 20, 2016, 06:22:25 AM by IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi »

Pretty close to my map except I have MS, LA, SC, MT and AK flipping.
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