|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2020, 01:03:51 am
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Bloomberg/Selzer: Clinton +12
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Bloomberg/Selzer: Clinton +12  (Read 1883 times)
JRP1994
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,811


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 14, 2016, 04:10:03 pm »

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-06-14/bloomberg-politics-national-poll-june-2016

Clinton: 49%
Trump: 37%
Logged
F_S_USATN
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2016, 04:11:40 pm »

Clinton 49
Trump 37
Johnson 9

Would never support-
Trump 55
Johnson 44
Clinton 43

http://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rc0NltTBR0ug/v0


SELZER & COMPANY Study #2140
1,000 U.S. adults ages 18 and over June 10-13, 2016
Margin of error for full sample: 3.1 percentage points Weighted by age and race
Includes 750 likely voters in the November general election
Margin of error for likely voter subsample: 3.6 percentage points
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,958
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2016, 04:14:04 pm »

Lest the 1964 redux predictions be revived, let's all remember this is a bounce, just like how Trump got a bounce after he clinched the nomination.
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2016, 04:17:23 pm »

DAMN
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,785


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2016, 04:18:39 pm »

Clinton led by 18 in the last version of this poll. It seems to have some sort of clinton bias caked into it.
Logged
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 14, 2016, 04:21:16 pm »
« Edited: June 14, 2016, 04:22:48 pm by HillOfANight »

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-06-14/bloomberg-politics-national-poll-june-2016
http://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rc0NltTBR0ug/v0

Horse race didn't change Clinton vs Trump post Orlando but did lower Obama's approval.

55% bothered over Trump's attack on judge Curiel's heritage.

White men are among Trump's strongest demographics. But even there he's not showing as much strength as the party's last nominee, Mitt Romney, who beat Obama in 2012 by 62 percent to 35 percent among white men, according to exit polls.
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 14, 2016, 04:21:48 pm »
« Edited: June 14, 2016, 04:24:01 pm by Fusionmunster »

Clinton led by 18 in the last version of this poll. It seems to have some sort of clinton bias caked into it.

Back in March.

Edit: And its still +18 if Johnson isnt included.
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,574
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2016, 04:22:17 pm »

LOL at the Donald
Logged
Iosif
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,609


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: -3.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 14, 2016, 04:22:48 pm »

Obama's approval-disapproval is 53-42.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,785


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 14, 2016, 04:23:12 pm »

Clinton led by 18 in the last version of this poll. It seems to have some sort of clinton bias caked into it.

Back in March.

Which was an outlier.

Clinton is up 4-6 right now.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,785


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 14, 2016, 04:25:31 pm »

Nate Cohn and Harry Enten are sort of not taking this poll seriously
Logged
Dumbo
Rookie
**
Posts: 148
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 14, 2016, 04:26:10 pm »
« Edited: June 14, 2016, 04:27:58 pm by Dumbo »

Interviews were conducted June 10 - 13, so I think this
poll is out of date.

In the "battling terrorism" poll (interviews conducted June 13)
Trump leads by 4.

Logged
F_S_USATN
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 14, 2016, 04:26:37 pm »

We're a Suffolk and a CNN poll away from the RCP average getting out of hand.
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 14, 2016, 04:27:10 pm »

Nate Cohn and Harry Enten are sort of not taking this poll seriously

Neither are we, but we also got a +7 Clinton poll today. Hillarys getting a bump.
Logged
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 14, 2016, 04:28:36 pm »

Nate Cohn and Harry Enten are sort of not taking this poll seriously

Selzer method polling in Iowa (all adults) kind of out of whack with pollsters that only look at registered voters, but still good to know the national sentiment.
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 14, 2016, 04:29:54 pm »

Interviews were conducted June 10 - 13, so I think this
poll is out of date.

In the "battling terrorism" poll (interviews conducted June 13)
Trump leads by 4.


A poll conducted in the past 4 days is now out of date?
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,517
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 14, 2016, 04:31:14 pm »
« Edited: June 14, 2016, 04:36:01 pm by Maxwell »

wow. Terrific!

For the record, I do think this is probably an outlier.
Logged
fldemfunds
Rookie
**
Posts: 168
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 14, 2016, 04:33:10 pm »

Interviews were conducted June 10 - 13, so I think this
poll is out of date.

In the "battling terrorism" poll (interviews conducted June 13)
Trump leads by 4.



The MOE on that one day of interviews is going to be larger than the margin. You're cherry-picking data. Don't be Karl Rove. Nobody should be Karl Rove.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,053
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 14, 2016, 04:38:32 pm »

Interviews were conducted June 10 - 13, so I think this
poll is out of date.

In the "battling terrorism" poll (interviews conducted June 13)
Trump leads by 4.


A poll conducted in the past 4 days is now out of date?

It's a fast world. Anything published before 5 minutes ago is obsolete.
Logged
F_S_USATN
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 14, 2016, 04:39:25 pm »

June 20, 2012 Selzer had it Obama 53-40

The "flawed" challenger languished at 39-48 favorables lol
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,105


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: June 14, 2016, 04:39:32 pm »

She still has room to grow - getting only 55% of Sanders supporters. Also two thirds of women stating they could never see themselves backing Trump - that's just an astronomically high number to overcome if close to reality.

Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: June 14, 2016, 04:42:24 pm »

June 20, 2012 Selzer had it Obama 53-40

The "flawed" challenger languished at 39-48 favorables lol
And Romney still lost so.
Logged
Fargobison
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,512


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: June 14, 2016, 04:49:46 pm »

Trump seems to be consistently under 40% as of late.
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: June 14, 2016, 04:51:49 pm »

Trump seems to be consistently under 40% as of late.

Yeah, his RCP average seems to be cratering right now.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,072
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: June 14, 2016, 04:53:02 pm »

What a nice poll!
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.219 seconds with 15 queries.