PA-PPP: Toomey +3
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  PA-PPP: Toomey +3
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Author Topic: PA-PPP: Toomey +3  (Read 1625 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: June 08, 2016, 01:59:17 PM »

41/38.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2016, 02:04:46 PM »

Not bad. Looks like the post primary bounce stuck a bit. McGinty is not unelectable.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2016, 02:07:49 PM »

This is looking like it might be becoming a toss-up. Toomey was never unbeatable.
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Senator & Ambassador Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: June 08, 2016, 02:12:59 PM »

Toomey up by 3 in a Generic D +4 Sample. Approval ratings indicate this will be a battle of "which devil is a bit less terrible", and incumbents tend to win that sort of battle.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2016, 02:17:02 PM »

Moving to Lean D
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windjammer
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« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2016, 04:32:00 PM »

I think Mcginty is going to win this if Clinton wins PA (that is more likely than not).
She's not a great candidate but Toomey isn't either.
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Vosem
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« Reply #6 on: June 08, 2016, 05:42:55 PM »


While this poll concerns me, since it shows that Toomey is definitely beatable by McGinty, it doesn't actually show Toomey being beaten by McGinty. This is Tossup.

Early expectations on this race were probably always too bullish on Toomey, unfortunately.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #7 on: June 08, 2016, 06:06:44 PM »

More Obama voters (and other/forgot) are undecided than Romney voters, but Toomey gets more Obama votes than McGinty gets Romney voters, and more than twice as many other/forgot (a whole 10% of the sample) than McGinty does, so that's a good sign. He also has more name recognition, and is still ahead. Tilt R at the moment.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: June 08, 2016, 07:55:17 PM »

If Clinton is winning PA by a lot, then I think Toomey is a goner. If it's as narrow as it is today, Toomey is fine.
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