CT-Quinnipiac: Clinton +7 /+5 with third parties (user search)

Ebsy
Junior Chimp

Posts: 8,001

« on: June 07, 2016, 11:25:59 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp

Posts: 8,001

« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 11:50:31 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

Difference
Obama broke 50% (he got 52%)

Hillary got only 41% and only +5% margins in 4-way race.

Difference
Romney broke 40% (he got 45%)

TRUMP got only 38% and only -5% margins in a 4-way race.

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp

Posts: 8,001

« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 11:55:19 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

Difference
Obama broke 50% (he got 52%)

Hillary got only 41% and only +5% margins in 4-way race.

Difference
Romney broke 40% (he got 45%)

TRUMP got only 38% and only -5% margins in a 4-way race.

it seems Hillary has a 'ceiling' in connecticut.
As Nate Silver said to TRUMP.

it seems TRUMP has a 'ceiling' in connecticut.
As Dick Morris said to Hillary.

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